Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#266
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#238
Pace64.8#285
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#220
First Shot+1.0#156
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#322
Layup/Dunks-3.3#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#151
Freethrows-0.6#224
Improvement-1.5#264

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#296
First Shot-5.5#341
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#64
Layups/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#34
Freethrows-0.1#202
Improvement+1.5#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 84 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 301   @ Western Michigan W 80-76 OT 49%     1 - 0 -1.1 +0.1 -1.5
  Nov 11, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 60-89 2%     1 - 1 -10.0 -1.5 -10.1
  Nov 14, 2023 165   UC Davis L 53-68 30%     1 - 2 -15.1 -8.1 -9.7
  Nov 16, 2023 158   @ Montana W 78-69 21%     2 - 2 +11.9 +8.1 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2023 59   @ Grand Canyon L 71-86 6%     2 - 3 -3.0 +5.5 -8.8
  Nov 27, 2023 231   @ San Jose St. L 65-78 33%     2 - 4 -13.9 -7.6 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2023 231   San Jose St. W 83-78 OT 52%     3 - 4 -1.1 +0.3 -1.6
  Dec 07, 2023 286   Portland W 78-67 64%     4 - 4 +1.9 +3.0 -0.4
  Dec 17, 2023 182   @ Illinois St. L 65-75 25%     4 - 5 -8.4 -5.6 -2.7
  Dec 19, 2023 125   @ Southern Illinois L 63-76 16%     4 - 6 -7.7 -4.9 -3.4
  Dec 29, 2023 322   South Dakota L 66-75 73%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -21.0 -14.9 -6.3
  Jan 03, 2024 158   Montana L 86-96 38%     4 - 8 -12.3 +5.7 -17.7
  Jan 06, 2024 152   @ Eastern Washington L 83-91 20%     4 - 9 -4.5 +15.9 -21.1
  Jan 11, 2024 217   @ UMKC W 92-91 2OT 31%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +0.7 +6.8 -6.2
  Jan 13, 2024 261   @ Nebraska Omaha L 92-96 OT 39%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -6.5 +13.6 -19.9
  Jan 18, 2024 276   Denver L 70-78 61%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -16.4 -13.5 -2.6
  Jan 20, 2024 274   Oral Roberts W 72-67 61%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -3.4 +1.5 -4.4
  Jan 25, 2024 157   @ St. Thomas L 66-79 21%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -10.1 -0.2 -11.1
  Feb 01, 2024 139   @ South Dakota St. W 74-73 OT 18%     7 - 12 3 - 4 +5.3 -6.4 +11.6
  Feb 03, 2024 232   @ North Dakota L 58-60 33%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -2.9 -9.0 +5.8
  Feb 08, 2024 217   UMKC W 82-78 OT 50%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -1.5 +8.2 -9.7
  Feb 10, 2024 261   Nebraska Omaha W 81-79 59%     9 - 13 5 - 5 -5.7 +0.5 -6.3
  Feb 15, 2024 274   @ Oral Roberts W 73-60 41%     10 - 13 6 - 5 +9.8 -3.8 +13.4
  Feb 17, 2024 276   @ Denver L 71-77 41%     10 - 14 6 - 6 -9.2 -4.6 -4.8
  Feb 22, 2024 157   St. Thomas W 64-50 38%     11 - 14 7 - 6 +11.7 +1.1 +13.1
  Feb 24, 2024 232   North Dakota W 73-68 52%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -1.1 +1.5 -2.2
  Feb 29, 2024 322   @ South Dakota L 68-88 55%     12 - 15 8 - 7 -26.9 -2.7 -26.5
  Mar 02, 2024 139   South Dakota St. L 61-78 33%     12 - 16 8 - 8 -17.9 -5.7 -14.2
  Mar 10, 2024 157   St. Thomas L 58-68 29%     12 - 17 -9.7 -2.4 -9.5
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%