Pre-tourney Rankings
Oklahoma
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#37
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#33
Pace67.7#203
Improvement-6.2#355

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#50
First Shot+5.3#48
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#153
Layup/Dunks+6.0#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
Freethrows+1.0#102
Improvement-1.8#272

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#31
First Shot+4.2#45
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#57
Layups/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#131
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-4.4#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four34.5% n/a n/a
First Round41.4% n/a n/a
Second Round19.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 64 - 12
Quad 25 - 09 - 12
Quad 33 - 012 - 12
Quad 48 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 271   Central Michigan W 89-59 96%     1 - 0 +21.7 +12.6 +8.0
  Nov 10, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 82-43 99.6%    2 - 0 +15.5 +8.3 +10.9
  Nov 14, 2023 187   Texas St. W 93-54 91%     3 - 0 +35.3 +20.6 +14.4
  Nov 17, 2023 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 90-66 98%     4 - 0 +10.1 +5.3 +3.0
  Nov 23, 2023 49   Iowa W 79-67 54%     5 - 0 +22.4 +6.0 +16.3
  Nov 24, 2023 76   USC W 72-70 66%     6 - 0 +9.2 +5.3 +4.0
  Nov 30, 2023 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 107-86 99%     7 - 0 +5.6 +11.8 -8.5
  Dec 05, 2023 50   Providence W 72-51 64%     8 - 0 +28.7 +6.0 +22.9
  Dec 09, 2023 104   Arkansas W 79-70 73%     9 - 0 +14.0 +7.4 +6.5
  Dec 16, 2023 242   Green Bay W 81-47 94%     10 - 0 +27.3 +6.0 +22.0
  Dec 20, 2023 8   North Carolina L 69-81 28%     10 - 1 +5.6 +1.1 +5.3
  Dec 28, 2023 337   Central Arkansas W 88-72 98%     11 - 1 +1.3 +5.7 -4.9
  Dec 31, 2023 200   Monmouth W 72-56 93%     12 - 1 +11.3 +4.1 +8.9
  Jan 06, 2024 7   Iowa St. W 71-63 34%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +23.6 +16.8 +7.6
  Jan 10, 2024 31   @ TCU L 71-80 35%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +6.3 +3.6 +2.9
  Jan 13, 2024 20   @ Kansas L 66-78 32%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +4.3 +5.7 -1.9
  Jan 17, 2024 129   West Virginia W 77-63 86%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +13.9 +1.8 +11.9
  Jan 20, 2024 34   @ Cincinnati W 69-65 39%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +18.4 +10.6 +8.1
  Jan 23, 2024 23   Texas L 60-75 53%     15 - 4 3 - 3 -4.4 -6.5 +1.2
  Jan 27, 2024 26   Texas Tech L 84-85 54%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +9.4 +14.2 -4.8
  Jan 30, 2024 62   @ Kansas St. W 73-53 49%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +31.6 +9.4 +22.4
  Feb 03, 2024 55   @ Central Florida L 63-74 47%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +1.2 +1.9 -1.1
  Feb 06, 2024 17   BYU W 82-66 48%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +28.0 +12.8 +15.2
  Feb 10, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 66-62 81%     18 - 6 6 - 5 +6.0 -5.3 +11.4
  Feb 13, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 62-79 27%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +0.9 +7.3 -9.9
  Feb 17, 2024 20   Kansas L 57-67 51%     18 - 8 6 - 7 +1.1 -7.1 +7.9
  Feb 24, 2024 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 84-82 OT 66%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +9.2 +20.5 -11.2
  Feb 28, 2024 7   @ Iowa St. L 45-58 19%     19 - 9 7 - 8 +7.8 -8.4 +14.8
  Mar 02, 2024 2   Houston L 85-87 25%     19 - 10 7 - 9 +16.4 +31.2 -15.0
  Mar 05, 2024 34   Cincinnati W 74-71 OT 59%     20 - 10 8 - 9 +12.2 +0.7 +11.3
  Mar 09, 2024 23   @ Texas L 80-94 34%     20 - 11 8 - 10 +1.8 +13.9 -12.3
  Mar 13, 2024 31   TCU L 70-77 45%     20 - 12 +5.7 +0.8 +5.2
Projected Record 20 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 58.8% 58.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 8.2 28.4 19.8 0.0 41.2 58.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 58.8% 0.0% 58.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 8.2 28.4 19.8 0.0 41.2 58.8%