Pre-tourney Rankings
Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#138
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#124
Pace68.4#172
Improvement+6.6#10

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#185
First Shot-1.6#222
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#92
Layup/Dunks-2.5#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#239
Freethrows+2.4#46
Improvement+4.3#19

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#118
First Shot-0.4#183
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#26
Layups/Dunks+1.4#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#192
Freethrows-0.1#199
Improvement+2.3#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 35 - 47 - 9
Quad 412 - 319 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 353   @ Pacific W 64-57 90%     1 - 0 -5.4 -23.5 +17.2
  Nov 09, 2023 169   Utah Valley L 73-79 OT 67%     1 - 1 -8.8 -7.4 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2023 106   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-85 30%     1 - 2 -7.8 +2.6 -10.8
  Nov 17, 2023 83   @ Mississippi L 67-70 23%     1 - 3 +6.4 +0.9 +5.3
  Nov 20, 2023 131   @ Troy W 88-86 OT 38%     2 - 3 +7.1 +5.1 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2023 282   Grambling St. W 86-68 78%     3 - 3 +11.8 +18.3 -5.2
  Nov 29, 2023 118   @ Arizona St. L 61-78 35%     3 - 4 -11.2 -10.9 +0.9
  Dec 03, 2023 226   Lamar W 90-70 77%     4 - 4 +14.1 +18.0 -3.1
  Dec 09, 2023 149   @ Missouri St. L 60-69 43%     4 - 5 -5.3 -10.5 +5.4
  Dec 12, 2023 291   Louisiana Monroe W 63-62 86%     5 - 5 -8.6 -11.1 +2.5
  Dec 15, 2023 187   Texas St. L 60-73 70%     5 - 6 -16.7 -10.7 -6.2
  Dec 20, 2023 59   @ Grand Canyon L 64-76 17%     5 - 7 +0.0 -4.4 +4.7
  Dec 28, 2023 26   @ Texas Tech L 60-96 10%     5 - 8 -20.4 -6.7 -13.9
  Jan 06, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech W 81-77 47%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +6.5 +10.0 -3.5
  Jan 10, 2024 127   Western Kentucky W 78-74 57%     7 - 8 2 - 0 +4.0 +2.1 +1.7
  Jan 13, 2024 265   @ Middle Tennessee W 60-51 67%     8 - 8 3 - 0 +6.2 -3.5 +10.9
  Jan 20, 2024 148   @ Liberty L 66-82 42%     8 - 9 3 - 1 -12.2 -1.3 -11.9
  Jan 25, 2024 280   New Mexico St. W 79-67 83%     9 - 9 4 - 1 +3.4 +3.9 -0.4
  Jan 27, 2024 171   UTEP W 60-56 69%     10 - 9 5 - 1 +0.8 -9.5 +10.3
  Feb 01, 2024 127   @ Western Kentucky W 79-77 37%     11 - 9 6 - 1 +7.2 +8.2 -1.1
  Feb 03, 2024 278   @ Florida International L 61-68 69%     11 - 10 6 - 2 -10.3 -9.4 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2024 207   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-79 56%     11 - 11 6 - 3 -10.8 -1.0 -10.2
  Feb 15, 2024 278   Florida International W 70-56 83%     12 - 11 7 - 3 +5.5 -7.4 +12.9
  Feb 17, 2024 148   Liberty W 83-73 62%     13 - 11 8 - 3 +8.6 +7.8 +0.7
  Feb 22, 2024 280   @ New Mexico St. W 79-58 69%     14 - 11 9 - 3 +17.6 +11.3 +7.8
  Feb 24, 2024 171   @ UTEP W 65-54 49%     15 - 11 10 - 3 +13.0 +12.0 +3.3
  Mar 02, 2024 265   Middle Tennessee W 81-64 82%     16 - 11 11 - 3 +9.0 +12.9 -2.6
  Mar 07, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech W 72-66 29%     17 - 11 12 - 3 +13.7 +4.3 +9.3
  Mar 09, 2024 207   Jacksonville St. W 81-73 74%     18 - 11 13 - 3 +3.0 +11.6 -8.2
  Mar 13, 2024 278   Florida International W 78-59 77%     19 - 11 +13.1 +5.4 +8.5
  Mar 15, 2024 171   UTEP L 63-65 59%     19 - 12 -2.6 -4.1 +1.5
Projected Record 19 - 12 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%