Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho St.
Big Sky
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#254
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#277
Pace61.6#342
Improvement+3.7#44

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#232
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#76
Layup/Dunks+2.8#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#288
Freethrows-2.2#317
Improvement+1.6#95

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#260
First Shot-5.5#343
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#21
Layups/Dunks-9.9#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#11
Freethrows-1.0#254
Improvement+2.1#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 113 - 12
Quad 49 - 812 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 157   @ St. Thomas L 53-54 23%     0 - 1 +1.9 -9.8 +11.5
  Nov 12, 2023 7   @ Iowa St. L 55-86 2%     0 - 2 -10.2 -4.8 -4.6
  Nov 20, 2023 267   The Citadel L 61-62 52%     0 - 3 -6.5 -5.3 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2023 309   @ Campbell W 69-55 53%     1 - 3 +8.3 +4.4 +6.3
  Nov 28, 2023 196   @ Pepperdine L 62-77 29%     1 - 4 -14.4 -7.0 -8.6
  Dec 02, 2023 356   Lindenwood W 76-70 89%     2 - 4 -12.2 -1.8 -10.2
  Dec 05, 2023 213   @ Fresno St. L 67-79 32%     2 - 5 -12.1 -4.3 -8.0
  Dec 09, 2023 246   @ Southern Utah L 74-82 37%     2 - 6 -9.6 -1.3 -8.3
  Dec 21, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 57-76 18%     2 - 7 -14.5 -6.2 -10.8
  Dec 28, 2023 214   Montana St. L 66-74 52%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -13.4 -4.5 -9.4
  Dec 30, 2023 158   Montana L 68-76 40%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -10.3 -2.9 -8.2
  Jan 03, 2024 276   @ Denver L 82-95 OT 43%     2 - 10 -16.2 -2.7 -12.4
  Jan 06, 2024 261   Nebraska Omaha W 63-62 61%     3 - 10 -6.7 -3.7 -2.8
  Jan 11, 2024 253   @ Portland St. W 69-63 39%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +3.8 +3.7 +0.6
  Jan 13, 2024 302   @ Sacramento St. L 64-66 51%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -7.3 +4.9 -12.7
  Jan 18, 2024 320   Idaho W 64-59 75%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -6.9 -5.1 -1.1
  Jan 20, 2024 152   Eastern Washington L 67-79 38%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -13.7 -7.0 -7.3
  Jan 22, 2024 214   @ Montana St. L 70-77 32%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -7.2 +3.2 -10.9
  Jan 27, 2024 162   @ Weber St. W 74-64 23%     6 - 13 3 - 5 +12.8 +4.9 +8.4
  Feb 01, 2024 206   @ Northern Colorado L 86-91 2OT 31%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -4.8 +0.1 -4.3
  Feb 03, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona W 81-79 53%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -3.9 +8.2 -12.0
  Feb 08, 2024 302   Sacramento St. W 68-40 70%     8 - 14 5 - 6 +17.5 +4.3 +18.7
  Feb 10, 2024 253   Portland St. W 68-65 59%     9 - 14 6 - 6 -4.4 +2.2 -6.2
  Feb 15, 2024 152   @ Eastern Washington L 82-88 21%     9 - 15 6 - 7 -2.5 +10.5 -13.3
  Feb 17, 2024 320   @ Idaho L 53-55 57%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -8.7 -17.7 +8.8
  Feb 24, 2024 162   Weber St. W 80-62 40%     10 - 16 7 - 8 +15.6 +9.6 +7.1
  Feb 29, 2024 311   Northern Arizona L 88-92 2OT 72%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -15.1 -2.6 -11.9
  Mar 02, 2024 206   Northern Colorado L 79-81 50%     10 - 18 7 - 10 -7.0 +0.1 -7.0
  Mar 04, 2024 158   @ Montana L 65-79 23%     10 - 19 7 - 11 -11.1 -2.2 -10.7
  Mar 09, 2024 311   Northern Arizona W 68-60 63%     11 - 19 -0.5 -2.0 +2.3
  Mar 10, 2024 206   Northern Colorado W 83-76 40%     12 - 19 +4.6 +3.7 +0.8
  Mar 12, 2024 158   Montana L 58-72 31%     12 - 20 -13.7 -9.9 -5.9
Projected Record 12 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%