Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#231
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#264
Pace64.9#283
Improvement-4.3#327

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#165
First Shot+2.2#120
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#285
Layup/Dunks+0.4#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#29
Freethrows-3.0#343
Improvement-1.4#260

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#295
First Shot-3.2#286
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#256
Layups/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#248
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement-2.9#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 10
Quad 20 - 30 - 13
Quad 32 - 62 - 19
Quad 46 - 48 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 77   UC Irvine W 72-64 22%     1 - 0 +12.5 -0.4 +12.5
  Nov 12, 2023 26   @ Texas Tech L 42-56 5%     1 - 1 +1.6 -19.5 +19.3
  Nov 17, 2023 204   Abilene Christian L 71-77 45%     1 - 2 -8.3 +5.4 -14.3
  Nov 18, 2023 245   Norfolk St. W 77-53 52%     2 - 2 +19.9 +5.6 +15.4
  Nov 20, 2023 338   Hampton W 71-52 79%     3 - 2 +6.8 -0.2 +8.6
  Nov 27, 2023 266   North Dakota St. W 78-65 67%     4 - 2 +4.9 +3.4 +2.1
  Nov 29, 2023 329   @ Cal Poly L 77-81 OT 69%     4 - 3 -12.7 +3.8 -16.6
  Dec 02, 2023 158   @ Montana L 58-75 27%     4 - 4 -14.1 -16.4 +2.1
  Dec 04, 2023 266   @ North Dakota St. L 78-83 OT 48%     4 - 5 -7.9 -1.9 -5.7
  Dec 09, 2023 343   New Orleans W 87-82 87%     5 - 5 -10.8 -0.6 -10.5
  Dec 17, 2023 158   Montana L 75-86 45%     5 - 6 -13.3 -1.8 -11.6
  Dec 20, 2023 107   Santa Clara W 81-78 30%     6 - 6 +5.0 +12.8 -7.6
  Jan 02, 2024 151   @ Wyoming L 73-75 25%     6 - 7 0 - 1 +1.7 +4.6 -3.0
  Jan 05, 2024 45   Boise St. L 69-78 14%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -0.8 +1.8 -2.7
  Jan 09, 2024 28   San Diego St. L 78-81 10%     6 - 9 0 - 3 +7.3 +16.0 -8.9
  Jan 13, 2024 244   @ Air Force W 70-67 42%     7 - 9 1 - 3 +1.5 +9.6 -7.4
  Jan 16, 2024 213   @ Fresno St. L 82-85 37%     7 - 10 1 - 4 -3.1 +15.5 -18.8
  Jan 24, 2024 24   New Mexico L 75-95 10%     7 - 11 1 - 5 -9.5 +5.9 -15.0
  Jan 27, 2024 73   UNLV L 65-77 21%     7 - 12 1 - 6 -7.1 +1.4 -9.8
  Jan 30, 2024 52   @ Utah St. L 61-82 7%     7 - 13 1 - 7 -8.3 -5.5 -3.3
  Feb 02, 2024 41   @ Nevada L 60-90 6%     7 - 14 1 - 8 -16.1 -0.1 -19.3
  Feb 06, 2024 213   Fresno St. L 57-69 57%     7 - 15 1 - 9 -17.3 -15.7 -2.2
  Feb 09, 2024 48   @ Colorado St. L 47-66 7%     7 - 16 1 - 10 -5.8 -15.8 +8.3
  Feb 13, 2024 244   Air Force W 73-66 62%     8 - 16 2 - 10 +0.3 +7.5 -5.9
  Feb 17, 2024 151   Wyoming L 75-80 42%     8 - 17 2 - 11 -6.5 +2.3 -9.0
  Feb 20, 2024 45   @ Boise St. L 50-82 7%     8 - 18 2 - 12 -18.6 -12.1 -8.8
  Feb 23, 2024 41   Nevada L 63-84 13%     8 - 19 2 - 13 -12.3 -2.2 -11.5
  Feb 27, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 64-72 5%     8 - 20 2 - 14 +7.5 +6.2 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2024 73   @ UNLV L 50-68 11%     8 - 21 2 - 15 -7.9 -18.3 +10.5
  Mar 06, 2024 52   Utah St. L 70-90 15%     8 - 22 2 - 16 -12.5 +6.4 -20.9
  Mar 13, 2024 48   Colorado St. L 62-72 10%     8 - 23 +0.6 +2.3 -3.1
Projected Record 8 - 23 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%