Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Riverside
Big West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#202
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#209
Pace67.0#225
Improvement+4.4#29

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#201
First Shot+0.6#163
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#262
Layup/Dunks-3.5#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#34
Freethrows-2.0#308
Improvement+3.3#40

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#219
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#153
Layups/Dunks+0.3#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows-0.3#216
Improvement+1.1#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 34 - 64 - 12
Quad 410 - 614 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 47   @ Utah L 53-82 8%     0 - 1 -15.7 -13.4 -2.3
  Nov 12, 2023 286   @ Portland L 65-76 56%     0 - 2 -14.9 -11.4 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2023 8   @ North Carolina L 52-77 3%     0 - 3 -4.8 -9.8 +4.9
  Nov 21, 2023 242   Green Bay W 74-68 57%     1 - 3 +1.9 +6.1 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2023 214   @ Montana St. L 68-69 42%     1 - 4 -1.2 +2.4 -3.7
  Nov 30, 2023 93   @ UCLA L 65-66 15%     1 - 5 +7.8 +4.0 +3.7
  Dec 03, 2023 232   North Dakota W 68-62 65%     2 - 5 -0.1 -3.9 +4.2
  Dec 06, 2023 39   @ Washington St. L 49-86 7%     2 - 6 -23.0 -12.7 -12.8
  Dec 16, 2023 195   California Baptist L 69-70 58%     2 - 7 -5.4 +5.3 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2023 320   Idaho W 82-67 82%     3 - 7 +3.1 +9.4 -5.3
  Dec 28, 2023 77   @ UC Irvine L 66-73 13%     3 - 8 0 - 1 +2.7 -0.4 +3.1
  Dec 30, 2023 198   UC Santa Barbara W 79-77 59%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -2.7 +3.0 -5.7
  Jan 04, 2024 165   UC Davis L 63-83 52%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -22.7 -8.7 -14.0
  Jan 06, 2024 160   @ Long Beach St. L 75-83 31%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -5.1 -4.5 +0.1
  Jan 11, 2024 329   Cal Poly W 71-56 86%     5 - 10 2 - 3 +1.1 +0.5 +2.1
  Jan 13, 2024 159   @ Hawaii L 56-63 31%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -4.1 -7.4 +2.3
  Jan 18, 2024 227   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 56-80 44%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -24.7 -13.6 -12.0
  Jan 20, 2024 229   Cal St. Northridge W 82-63 64%     6 - 12 3 - 5 +13.0 +11.5 +2.2
  Jan 25, 2024 120   @ UC San Diego L 65-66 23%     6 - 13 3 - 6 +4.7 +0.8 +3.8
  Jan 27, 2024 160   Long Beach St. L 53-65 50%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -14.3 -18.4 +3.2
  Feb 03, 2024 229   @ Cal St. Northridge L 70-76 44%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -6.8 -2.6 -4.1
  Feb 08, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 65-63 64%     7 - 15 4 - 8 -3.9 -6.6 +2.7
  Feb 10, 2024 77   UC Irvine W 88-78 26%     8 - 15 5 - 8 +14.5 +16.0 -1.8
  Feb 15, 2024 225   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 81-73 44%     9 - 15 6 - 8 +7.3 +9.0 -1.7
  Feb 17, 2024 165   @ UC Davis W 67-61 32%     10 - 15 7 - 8 +8.5 +1.6 +7.2
  Feb 22, 2024 120   UC San Diego L 65-77 40%     10 - 16 7 - 9 -11.5 -10.7 -0.8
  Feb 24, 2024 329   @ Cal Poly W 84-78 73%     11 - 16 8 - 9 -2.7 +14.5 -16.8
  Mar 02, 2024 159   Hawaii L 73-76 OT 50%     11 - 17 8 - 10 -5.3 -1.7 -3.5
  Mar 07, 2024 225   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-74 64%     12 - 17 9 - 10 +4.1 +4.8 -1.3
  Mar 09, 2024 198   @ UC Santa Barbara W 81-64 39%     13 - 17 10 - 10 +17.5 +11.7 +6.8
  Mar 13, 2024 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 83-78 54%     14 - 17 +1.7 +12.2 -10.5
  Mar 14, 2024 160   Long Beach St. L 67-86 40%     14 - 18 -18.7 -4.7 -14.6
Projected Record 14 - 18 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%