Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#52
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#18
Pace70.8#103
Improvement-2.4#293

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#38
First Shot+7.1#26
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#217
Layup/Dunks+11.5#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#313
Freethrows+1.1#93
Improvement+0.7#140

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#79
First Shot+2.3#108
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#77
Layups/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#14
Freethrows+0.3#172
Improvement-3.2#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 32.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round87.4% n/a n/a
Second Round40.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 14 - 5
Quad 24 - 18 - 6
Quad 37 - 015 - 6
Quad 410 - 025 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 67   @ Bradley L 66-72 OT 48%     0 - 1 +4.6 -7.3 +12.4
  Nov 14, 2023 246   Southern Utah W 93-84 93%     1 - 1 +2.2 +10.0 -8.3
  Nov 19, 2023 236   Marshall W 83-60 90%     2 - 1 +19.3 +6.5 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2023 123   Akron W 65-62 76%     3 - 1 +5.9 -2.2 +8.2
  Nov 21, 2023 170   Stephen F. Austin W 79-49 84%     4 - 1 +29.6 +7.5 +21.7
  Nov 28, 2023 191   @ Saint Louis W 81-76 80%     5 - 1 +6.1 +7.6 -1.3
  Dec 02, 2023 77   UC Irvine W 79-69 71%     6 - 1 +14.5 +15.3 -0.1
  Dec 06, 2023 257   San Diego W 108-81 94%     7 - 1 +19.4 +20.1 -3.9
  Dec 13, 2023 107   @ Santa Clara W 84-82 61%     8 - 1 +9.2 +6.0 +3.0
  Dec 16, 2023 72   San Francisco W 54-53 60%     9 - 1 +8.5 -12.0 +20.6
  Dec 22, 2023 186   East Tennessee St. W 80-65 90%     10 - 1 +11.3 +3.9 +6.8
  Jan 02, 2024 244   @ Air Force W 88-60 86%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +26.5 +18.7 +9.9
  Jan 06, 2024 48   Colorado St. W 77-72 58%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +13.0 +7.3 +5.7
  Jan 09, 2024 151   Wyoming W 83-59 86%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +22.5 +13.2 +10.8
  Jan 13, 2024 73   @ UNLV W 87-86 50%     14 - 1 4 - 0 +11.1 +20.7 -9.6
  Jan 16, 2024 24   @ New Mexico L 86-99 29%     14 - 2 4 - 1 +2.7 +11.5 -7.3
  Jan 20, 2024 213   Fresno St. W 83-62 92%     15 - 2 5 - 1 +15.7 +6.3 +9.1
  Jan 27, 2024 45   @ Boise St. W 90-84 OT 37%     16 - 2 6 - 1 +19.4 +14.7 +4.1
  Jan 30, 2024 231   San Jose St. W 82-61 93%     17 - 2 7 - 1 +14.9 +5.9 +9.5
  Feb 03, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 67-81 30%     17 - 3 7 - 2 +1.5 +5.6 -4.5
  Feb 06, 2024 41   Nevada L 63-77 55%     17 - 4 7 - 3 -5.3 -5.0 -0.6
  Feb 10, 2024 45   Boise St. W 80-61 57%     18 - 4 8 - 3 +27.2 +16.1 +12.2
  Feb 14, 2024 151   @ Wyoming W 84-76 73%     19 - 4 9 - 3 +11.7 +14.3 -2.3
  Feb 17, 2024 48   @ Colorado St. L 55-75 38%     19 - 5 9 - 4 -6.8 -9.8 +2.2
  Feb 20, 2024 28   San Diego St. W 68-63 49%     20 - 5 10 - 4 +15.3 +8.5 +7.2
  Feb 27, 2024 213   @ Fresno St. W 77-73 OT 83%     21 - 5 11 - 4 +3.9 +2.4 +1.4
  Mar 01, 2024 244   Air Force W 72-60 93%     22 - 5 12 - 4 +5.3 -1.2 +7.4
  Mar 06, 2024 231   @ San Jose St. W 90-70 85%     23 - 5 13 - 4 +19.1 +23.5 -2.4
  Mar 09, 2024 24   New Mexico W 87-85 48%     24 - 5 14 - 4 +12.5 +15.3 -2.9
  Mar 14, 2024 213   Fresno St. W 87-75 OT 88%     25 - 5 +9.3 +7.3 +1.2
  Mar 15, 2024 28   San Diego St. L 70-86 39%     25 - 6 -3.1 +8.0 -11.6
  Mar 22, 2024 31   TCU L 77-80 40%    
Projected Record 25 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 87.5% 87.5% 7.0 0.1 6.6 25.5 29.0 17.7 7.2 1.2 0.0 12.5 87.5%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 87.5% 0.0% 87.5% 7.0 0.1 6.6 25.5 29.0 17.7 7.2 1.2 0.0 12.5 87.5%