Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#35
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#64
Pace60.6#350
Improvement-1.9#271

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#86
First Shot+2.6#106
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#106
Layup/Dunks-2.0#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#28
Freethrows+3.4#21
Improvement-3.2#328

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#14
First Shot+5.7#27
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#25
Layups/Dunks+4.2#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#272
Freethrows+3.1#19
Improvement+1.3#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.0% n/a n/a
First Round11.4% n/a n/a
Second Round5.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 25 - 19 - 12
Quad 33 - 312 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 287   American W 90-63 96%     1 - 0 +17.8 +15.4 +3.6
  Nov 10, 2023 308   Le Moyne W 83-57 97%     2 - 0 +15.1 +13.3 +4.3
  Nov 13, 2023 223   @ Penn L 72-76 87%     2 - 1 -4.5 -0.5 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2023 60   Maryland W 57-40 69%     3 - 1 +23.7 +1.9 +25.0
  Nov 22, 2023 26   Texas Tech W 85-69 45%     4 - 1 +29.0 +15.2 +13.5
  Nov 23, 2023 8   North Carolina W 83-81 OT 29%     5 - 1 +19.6 +13.5 +5.9
  Nov 24, 2023 70   Memphis W 79-63 66%     6 - 1 +23.6 +9.1 +14.6
  Nov 29, 2023 105   Saint Joseph's L 65-78 82%     6 - 2 -10.8 -0.5 -11.7
  Dec 02, 2023 136   Drexel L 55-57 82%     6 - 3 -0.1 -5.8 +5.3
  Dec 05, 2023 62   @ Kansas St. L 71-72 OT 51%     6 - 4 +10.6 +3.7 +7.0
  Dec 09, 2023 93   UCLA W 65-56 78%     7 - 4 +12.6 +4.3 +9.5
  Dec 20, 2023 11   @ Creighton W 68-66 OT 25%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +21.0 -0.5 +21.4
  Dec 23, 2023 294   @ DePaul W 84-48 93%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +31.4 +9.0 +22.5
  Jan 03, 2024 57   Xavier W 66-65 68%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +7.9 +1.5 +6.5
  Jan 06, 2024 25   St. John's L 71-81 55%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +0.5 -3.1 +4.2
  Jan 12, 2024 294   DePaul W 94-69 97%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +15.2 +23.8 -6.6
  Jan 15, 2024 12   @ Marquette L 74-87 25%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +5.9 +15.4 -10.5
  Jan 20, 2024 1   Connecticut L 65-66 22%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +19.1 +11.1 +7.8
  Jan 24, 2024 25   @ St. John's L 50-70 35%     11 - 8 4 - 4 -4.3 -10.2 +3.1
  Jan 27, 2024 63   @ Butler L 81-88 2OT 51%     11 - 9 4 - 5 +4.6 +1.9 +3.8
  Jan 30, 2024 12   Marquette L 80-85 43%     11 - 10 4 - 6 +8.7 +13.5 -4.8
  Feb 04, 2024 50   Providence W 68-50 65%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +25.7 +10.3 +17.7
  Feb 07, 2024 57   @ Xavier L 53-56 49%     12 - 11 5 - 7 +9.1 -6.3 +14.9
  Feb 11, 2024 58   Seton Hall W 80-54 68%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +32.8 +19.2 +16.3
  Feb 16, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 70-54 83%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +17.8 +0.8 +18.5
  Feb 20, 2024 63   Butler W 72-62 70%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +16.4 +14.4 +3.7
  Feb 24, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 54-78 11%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +1.3 -4.8 +4.2
  Feb 27, 2024 176   Georgetown W 75-47 91%     16 - 12 9 - 8 +24.6 +8.8 +20.4
  Mar 02, 2024 50   @ Providence W 71-60 46%     17 - 12 10 - 8 +23.9 +17.6 +8.0
  Mar 06, 2024 58   @ Seton Hall L 56-66 49%     17 - 13 10 - 9 +2.0 -2.4 +3.0
  Mar 09, 2024 11   Creighton L 67-69 42%     17 - 14 10 - 10 +11.8 +3.9 +7.7
  Mar 13, 2024 294   DePaul W 58-57 95%     18 - 14 -6.2 -10.0 +4.0
  Mar 14, 2024 12   Marquette L 65-71 OT 33%     18 - 15 +10.3 +1.3 +8.8
Projected Record 18 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 20.3% 20.3% 10.8 0.0 0.3 3.7 16.2 0.1 79.7 20.3%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.3% 0.0% 20.3% 10.8 0.0 0.3 3.7 16.2 0.1 79.7 20.3%