American
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
582  Joshua Ellis SR 33:08
630  Brendan Johnson JR 33:13
745  Alaeldin Tirba SO 33:24
1,115  Samuel Doud SO 33:57
1,166  Matthew Rainey FR 34:01
1,418  Liam Purdy SO 34:22
1,600  Benjamin Doiron FR 34:40
1,621  Thomas Dengler FR 34:42
1,990  James Belfatto SO 35:19
2,453  Chandler Ross FR 36:26
National Rank #125 of 308
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #10 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 47.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Joshua Ellis Brendan Johnson Alaeldin Tirba Samuel Doud Matthew Rainey Liam Purdy Benjamin Doiron Thomas Dengler James Belfatto Chandler Ross
DCXC Invitational 09/26 1125 33:09 33:15 33:10 34:00 34:13 34:42 34:10 35:34
Paul Short Invitational 10/02 1154 33:13 33:11 34:08 34:28 33:50 34:57 34:49
Leopard Invitational 10/17 1139 32:56 33:49 33:21 34:04 34:03 34:17 34:40 35:05 35:49 36:48
Patriot League Championships 10/31 1127 33:35 32:56 33:08 34:18 33:59 34:23
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 33:06 33:34 33:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 11.1 344 0.1 2.8 9.1 18.3 16.8 13.5 11.7 9.1 7.4 5.4 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joshua Ellis 44.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0
Brendan Johnson 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5
Alaeldin Tirba 58.7 0.0 0.1
Samuel Doud 88.0
Matthew Rainey 92.3
Liam Purdy 112.0
Benjamin Doiron 126.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 2.8% 2.8 7
8 9.1% 9.1 8
9 18.3% 18.3 9
10 16.8% 16.8 10
11 13.5% 13.5 11
12 11.7% 11.7 12
13 9.1% 9.1 13
14 7.4% 7.4 14
15 5.4% 5.4 15
16 3.3% 3.3 16
17 1.7% 1.7 17
18 0.8% 0.8 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0