Arizona
Men -
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
383 |
Collins Kibet |
JR |
32:45 |
699 |
Samuel Willis |
SR |
33:20 |
1,366 |
Seamus White |
FR |
34:18 |
1,382 |
Patrick Leary |
SO |
34:19 |
1,589 |
Jonas Legernes |
SR |
34:39 |
1,807 |
Matthew Beer |
JR |
35:01 |
1,850 |
Jeffrey Gautreau |
JR |
35:05 |
1,936 |
Daniom Tecle |
SO |
35:15 |
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National Rank |
#139 of 308 |
West Region Rank |
#17 of 32 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
0.0% |
Most Likely Finish |
20th at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
47.4% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Collins Kibet |
Samuel Willis |
Seamus White |
Patrick Leary |
Jonas Legernes |
Matthew Beer |
Jeffrey Gautreau |
Daniom Tecle |
Roy Griak Invitational |
09/26 |
1186 |
33:14 |
33:17 |
33:41 |
34:54 |
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35:38 |
35:15 |
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) |
10/17 |
1109 |
32:24 |
33:38 |
34:21 |
33:53 |
34:02 |
35:10 |
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35:15 |
Pac 12 Championships |
10/30 |
1134 |
32:26 |
33:28 |
34:50 |
34:16 |
35:26 |
34:54 |
34:41 |
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West Region Championships |
11/13 |
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33:16 |
32:55 |
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34:26 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
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24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
20.7 |
640 |
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0.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
5.5 |
9.2 |
13.4 |
16.7 |
16.5 |
14.2 |
9.5 |
6.4 |
4.0 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
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23 |
24 |
25 |
Collins Kibet |
66.8 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
Samuel Willis |
98.3 |
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Seamus White |
150.7 |
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Patrick Leary |
152.4 |
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Jonas Legernes |
167.3 |
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Matthew Beer |
180.2 |
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Jeffrey Gautreau |
182.8 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
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10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
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8 |
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10 |
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13 |
14 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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14 |
15 |
0.4% |
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0.4 |
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15 |
16 |
2.2% |
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2.2 |
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16 |
17 |
5.5% |
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5.5 |
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17 |
18 |
9.2% |
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9.2 |
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18 |
19 |
13.4% |
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13.4 |
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19 |
20 |
16.7% |
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16.7 |
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20 |
21 |
16.5% |
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16.5 |
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21 |
22 |
14.2% |
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14.2 |
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22 |
23 |
9.5% |
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9.5 |
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23 |
24 |
6.4% |
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6.4 |
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24 |
25 |
4.0% |
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4.0 |
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25 |
26 |
1.7% |
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1.7 |
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26 |
27 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |