Elon
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
333  Nick Ciolkowski FR 32:38
1,269  Reed Payne SR 34:10
1,341  Ryan Gwaltney SR 34:17
1,614  Ian O'Leary SO 34:42
2,072  Greg Paugh FR 35:28
2,265  Sam Geha SO 35:56
2,301  Carlos Andino SO 36:03
2,655  Cooper Jansson FR 37:17
2,717  Josh Kruppa FR 37:38
National Rank #167 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #21 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.2%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Ciolkowski Reed Payne Ryan Gwaltney Ian O'Leary Greg Paugh Sam Geha Carlos Andino Cooper Jansson Josh Kruppa
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 1185 32:54 34:12 34:35 34:47 35:01 34:25 36:11 38:11
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16 1213 33:07 33:58 34:19 34:50 36:16 35:38 36:19 37:19 37:11
CAA Championship 10/31 1178 32:31 34:08 34:18 34:43 36:08 36:32 36:02
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 1135 32:20 34:34 33:58 34:27 34:45 37:28 35:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.6 685 0.0 0.5 2.6 10.3 32.6 35.4 14.3 3.1 0.9 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Ciolkowski 0.1% 185.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Ciolkowski 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6
Reed Payne 132.4
Ryan Gwaltney 139.2
Ian O'Leary 162.2
Greg Paugh 194.2
Sam Geha 214.3
Carlos Andino 218.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 0.5% 0.5 19
20 2.6% 2.6 20
21 10.3% 10.3 21
22 32.6% 32.6 22
23 35.4% 35.4 23
24 14.3% 14.3 24
25 3.1% 3.1 25
26 0.9% 0.9 26
27 0.3% 0.3 27
28 0.0% 0.0 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0