Houston Baptist
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,041  Carlos Arias SO 33:51
1,283  Juan Fraga JR 34:11
1,303  Oscar Garcia JR 34:14
1,653  Enrique Perez SO 34:45
1,717  Jeremy Lewis JR 34:51
2,056  Orlando Garcia JR 35:27
2,736  Daniel Shelton SO 37:47
National Rank #199 of 308
South Central Region Rank #22 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.1%
Top 20 in Regional 67.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Carlos Arias Juan Fraga Oscar Garcia Enrique Perez Jeremy Lewis Orlando Garcia Daniel Shelton
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 1196 33:19 34:12 33:50 34:14 34:52 35:51
HBU Invite 10/09 1228 34:38 34:10 34:04 34:06 35:23 35:34 36:28
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 1188 33:19 33:39 33:41 34:27 34:55 36:10
Southland Conference Championships 10/30 1235 34:25 34:13 34:34 35:34 34:30 35:04 39:12
South Central Regional Championships 11/13 1279 33:53 35:12 36:18 36:24 34:43 34:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.5 484 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.2 4.9 6.4 7.2 8.7 9.3 10.7 12.7 13.4 16.6 2.5



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carlos Arias 67.0
Juan Fraga 84.0
Oscar Garcia 85.6
Enrique Perez 114.0
Jeremy Lewis 119.5
Orlando Garcia 147.7
Daniel Shelton 196.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 0.6% 0.6 11
12 2.7% 2.7 12
13 4.2% 4.2 13
14 4.9% 4.9 14
15 6.4% 6.4 15
16 7.2% 7.2 16
17 8.7% 8.7 17
18 9.3% 9.3 18
19 10.7% 10.7 19
20 12.7% 12.7 20
21 13.4% 13.4 21
22 16.6% 16.6 22
23 2.5% 2.5 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0