Idaho
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
957  Nathan Stark JR 33:43
1,528  Skylar Ovnicek FR 34:33
2,143  Christopher Black JR 35:38
2,255  Levi Wintz FR 35:54
2,774  Paul Page FR 38:03
2,938  Colton Ray FR 39:47
National Rank #241 of 308
West Region Rank #32 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nathan Stark Skylar Ovnicek Christopher Black Levi Wintz Paul Page Colton Ray
Montana Invitational 10/03 1337 33:52 34:55 35:51 36:19
Inland Empire Championships 10/17 1315 33:45 34:40 34:32 35:55 37:49 39:47
Big Sky Championships 10/31 1313 32:59 33:54 36:19 35:28 38:27
West Region Championships 11/13 34:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 30.4 912 0.3 2.6 10.8 43.9 27.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Stark 116.8
Skylar Ovnicek 163.1
Christopher Black 198.1
Levi Wintz 206.1
Paul Page 221.5
Colton Ray 222.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 0.3% 0.3 27
28 2.6% 2.6 28
29 10.8% 10.8 29
30 43.9% 43.9 30
31 27.7% 27.7 31
32 14.7% 14.7 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0