Kentucky
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
64  Jacob Thomson SO 31:37
259  Zach Beavin SR 32:26
371  Kendall Muhammad FR 32:44
395  Lou Styles SO 32:47
422  Spencer Hrycay JR 32:49
485  Ryan Polman SR 32:57
675  Ben Young FR 33:18
742  Gabe Harm JR 33:24
789  Mick Iacofano JR 33:29
National Rank #52 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #9 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 6.2%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 5.1%
Top 10 in Regional 99.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jacob Thomson Zach Beavin Kendall Muhammad Lou Styles Spencer Hrycay Ryan Polman Ben Young Gabe Harm Mick Iacofano
Cowboy Jamboree 09/26 778 31:38 32:23 32:22 32:27 33:33 33:23
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 1126 32:43 33:13
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 917 32:37 32:43 33:03 33:20 32:17 32:52 33:26
SEC Championships 10/30 837 31:35 32:24 32:38 33:30 33:04 33:19 33:18 33:19
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 766 31:14 32:14 32:37 33:25 32:39 33:26 34:14
NCAA Championship 11/21 31:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 6.2% 26.7 615 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.4
Region Championship 100% 7.4 206 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.3 9.7 40.2 30.1 12.2 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Thomson 69.7% 59.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4
Zach Beavin 6.5% 148.4
Kendall Muhammad 6.2% 180.3
Lou Styles 6.2% 192.2
Spencer Hrycay 6.2% 195.6
Ryan Polman 6.2% 204.6
Ben Young 6.2% 228.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Thomson 11.1 0.4 1.9 3.1 4.8 5.1 5.7 6.0 5.7 6.2 5.3 5.2 5.8 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.2 2.8 3.2 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.3
Zach Beavin 35.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.5 2.6
Kendall Muhammad 48.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
Lou Styles 52.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
Spencer Hrycay 53.8 0.1 0.0 0.1
Ryan Polman 61.6 0.0
Ben Young 81.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.3% 88.2% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3
4 1.4% 67.6% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 4
5 3.3% 50.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.7 1.7 5
6 9.7% 32.9% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 6.5 3.2 6
7 40.2% 0.0% 0.0 40.2 0.0 7
8 30.1% 30.1 8
9 12.2% 12.2 9
10 2.1% 2.1 10
11 0.4% 0.4 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 6.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 93.8 0.1 6.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida 8.5% 2.0 0.2
Georgia 6.3% 2.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0