Toledo
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,175  Hillary Serem SR 34:02
1,199  Stalline Kurgat SO 34:04
1,248  Adam Bess SR 34:08
1,741  Louis Guardiola SO 34:53
1,938  Andrew Ciaccia FR 35:15
2,111  Jacob Wistinghausen FR 35:33
2,165  Matt Leis JR 35:41
2,228  Jax Talbot SO 35:50
2,315  Clinton Caddell SO 36:05
National Rank #204 of 308
Great Lakes Region Rank #25 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hillary Serem Stalline Kurgat Adam Bess Louis Guardiola Andrew Ciaccia Jacob Wistinghausen Matt Leis Jax Talbot Clinton Caddell
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 10/03 1229 33:50 34:10 34:11 35:06 35:23 35:08 35:41 35:33 35:32
Mid American Championships 10/31 1231 33:57 34:08 34:17 34:49 35:15 35:50 35:22 36:12 36:43
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 1230 34:31 33:56 33:58 34:46 35:05 35:44 36:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.3 713 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.2 15.7 26.4 32.6 15.8 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hillary Serem 120.2
Stalline Kurgat 122.8
Adam Bess 127.4
Louis Guardiola 163.4
Andrew Ciaccia 174.7
Jacob Wistinghausen 182.1
Matt Leis 184.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 0.7% 0.7 20
21 2.5% 2.5 21
22 6.2% 6.2 22
23 15.7% 15.7 23
24 26.4% 26.4 24
25 32.6% 32.6 25
26 15.8% 15.8 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0