Navy
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
239  Lucas Stalnaker JR 32:23
315  Samuel Peckham SR 32:35
372  Harry Bullen JR 32:44
401  Stephen Schroeder SR 32:47
572  Gabriel Collison SO 33:07
577  Mitchell Pratt JR 33:07
644  Cory Donley SO 33:14
667  Ryan McCoy JR 33:17
681  Justin Maguire SR 33:18
792  Ryan Speir JR 33:29
925  Samuel Williams JR 33:40
1,005  Zachary Anderson SO 33:47
1,602  Josh Hanna SO 34:41
National Rank #67 of 308
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #6 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.5%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 45.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lucas Stalnaker Samuel Peckham Harry Bullen Stephen Schroeder Gabriel Collison Mitchell Pratt Cory Donley Ryan McCoy Justin Maguire Ryan Speir Samuel Williams
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 798 32:00 32:11 32:32 33:00 32:43 33:05 33:26 32:50
UD Blue & Gold Invitational 10/10 1188 33:42 33:48
Army vs Navy 10/16 946 32:45 32:46 32:46 32:45 32:46 33:12 32:58 33:14 32:57 33:41
Patriot League Championships 10/31 962 32:43 32:45 32:45 32:43 33:19 33:15 33:14 34:00 33:10 33:29 33:34
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/13 934 32:24 32:37 32:56 32:46 33:37 32:57 33:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.5% 28.9 686 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4
Region Championship 100% 5.3 143 0.1 1.4 4.2 11.1 28.2 51.3 3.3 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Stalnaker 18.4% 155.2
Samuel Peckham 5.2% 167.0
Harry Bullen 2.4% 176.0
Stephen Schroeder 1.8% 177.3
Gabriel Collison 1.5% 212.3
Mitchell Pratt 1.5% 207.3
Cory Donley 1.5% 220.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucas Stalnaker 16.1 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.5 4.2 5.2 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.7 4.5 4.2 4.3 3.3 3.6 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.3
Samuel Peckham 22.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 2.1 2.6 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.3 3.5 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.4 3.5 3.2
Harry Bullen 27.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.2 3.2 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.9 3.3
Stephen Schroeder 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.2 2.3 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.1 3.9
Gabriel Collison 44.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8
Mitchell Pratt 44.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1
Cory Donley 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 2
3 4.2% 0.5% 0.0 4.2 0.0 3
4 11.1% 11.1 4
5 28.2% 28.2 5
6 51.3% 51.3 6
7 3.3% 3.3 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 1.5% 0.1 1.4 0.0 98.5 1.5 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0