Virginia
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
106  Zach Herriott SR 31:50
109  Lachlan Cook FR 31:51
111  Chase Weaverling JR 31:52
127  Brent Demarest SO 31:57
393  Matthew Novak FR 32:43
589  Alex Corbett FR 33:06
596  Ari Klau FR 33:07
627  Johnny Pace FR 33:10
1,241  AJ Ernst FR 34:03
National Rank #23 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 50.8%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 2.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 30.2%


Regional Champion 20.2%
Top 5 in Regional 98.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Zach Herriott Lachlan Cook Chase Weaverling Brent Demarest Matthew Novak Alex Corbett Ari Klau Johnny Pace AJ Ernst
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 428 31:40 32:04 31:52 31:28 32:45 32:12 32:30
Penn State National Open 10/14 684 32:05 32:02 32:12 31:57 33:16 33:13 32:54
ACC Championships 10/28 498 31:46 31:44 31:50 31:37 32:31 33:02 33:07 33:16 34:03
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 541 31:22 31:37 31:46 32:34 32:27 33:59 34:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 50.8% 19.1 481 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.1 2.9 4.1 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.0 3.4 2.1 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2
Region Championship 100% 2.6 100 20.2 29.7 31.9 12.8 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Herriott 52.6% 77.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
Lachlan Cook 52.5% 86.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Chase Weaverling 52.6% 82.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brent Demarest 51.1% 97.1 0.1 0.1
Matthew Novak 50.8% 203.8
Alex Corbett 50.9% 232.6
Ari Klau 51.0% 232.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Herriott 11.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.9 2.7 5.6 7.7 8.2 7.9 7.4 5.4 6.3 6.1 4.9 5.0 4.6 2.8 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.1 1.0
Lachlan Cook 11.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 3.1 5.7 6.3 6.4 7.5 8.1 6.8 6.6 5.9 4.9 5.6 4.3 3.6 2.7 2.7 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.0
Chase Weaverling 11.6 0.1 0.7 1.2 3.5 4.9 6.5 7.6 8.3 6.4 7.3 6.1 5.1 5.2 4.6 4.3 3.5 3.5 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.0 1.1
Brent Demarest 13.7 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.2 5.3 5.1 7.7 6.8 7.1 6.4 5.5 5.9 6.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 2.7 3.1 2.5 1.8 2.0 1.4
Matthew Novak 40.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.9 1.6 2.0 2.3
Alex Corbett 63.5 0.1 0.1
Ari Klau 64.7 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 20.2% 100.0% 20.2 20.2 1
2 29.7% 100.0% 29.7 29.7 2
3 31.9% 3.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 31.0 1.0 3
4 12.8% 12.8 4
5 4.2% 4.2 5
6 1.2% 1.2 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 50.8% 20.2 29.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 49.3 49.8 1.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Virginia Tech 0.9% 2.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0