Butler
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
212  Euan Makepeace SO 32:11
244  Barry Keane FR 32:17
331  Johnny Leverenz JR 32:31
332  Matt Lumbar SR 32:31
441  Evan Johnson SO 32:43
759  Jonathan Collier SR 33:19
1,069  Clark Otte FR 33:43
1,191  Eric Baugh SO 33:54
1,435  Michael Carey SR 34:14
1,559  Blake Roberts FR 34:24
1,597  Jackson Martin FR 34:27
2,209  Kyle Harris FR 35:34
2,262  Malik Mahmud SR 35:42
2,685  Chandler McGaha FR 37:16
National Rank #48 of 315
Great Lakes Region Rank #7 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.1%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 29.6%
Top 10 in Regional 98.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Euan Makepeace Barry Keane Johnny Leverenz Matt Lumbar Evan Johnson Jonathan Collier Clark Otte Eric Baugh Michael Carey Blake Roberts Jackson Martin
John McNichols Invitational 09/09 1249 33:51 34:14 34:11
Commodore Classic 09/16 779 31:28 32:30 32:55 32:42 32:41 33:19
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 881 32:43 32:25 32:17 32:53 32:45 33:33 34:05
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1153 32:55 33:03 34:30 34:14 35:22
Illini Open 10/20 1340 33:40 35:03
Big East Championship 10/28 894 33:02 32:22 32:37 32:26 32:45 33:19 35:07 33:39 34:18 34:13
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 747 31:54 32:15 31:52 32:32 34:11 33:41 34:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.1% 26.7 664 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2
Region Championship 100% 6.4 185 0.3 5.8 8.8 14.8 20.3 26.8 14.5 5.6 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Euan Makepeace 11.9% 127.4
Barry Keane 6.5% 143.0
Johnny Leverenz 2.5% 174.0
Matt Lumbar 2.4% 162.5
Evan Johnson 2.1% 197.5
Jonathan Collier 2.2% 238.3
Clark Otte 2.1% 245.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Euan Makepeace 22.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.7 1.7 2.1 1.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.4 3.3 3.6 3.4 4.4 3.1
Barry Keane 25.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.4 3.4 4.2
Johnny Leverenz 35.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.2 1.8 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.6 3.3 3.0
Matt Lumbar 35.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.2 3.1 3.6
Evan Johnson 46.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.1
Jonathan Collier 83.7
Clark Otte 108.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 5.8% 19.8% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.7 1.2 3
4 8.8% 6.9% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 8.2 0.6 4
5 14.8% 14.8 5
6 20.3% 0.2% 0.1 20.3 0.1 6
7 26.8% 26.8 7
8 14.5% 14.5 8
9 5.6% 5.6 9
10 2.0% 2.0 10
11 1.0% 1.0 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 2.1% 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 98.0 0.3 1.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Villanova 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Belmont 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0