Villanova
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
155  Andrew Marston SO 32:00
162  Casey Comber SO 32:02
557  Paul Power SO 32:57
641  Martin Barr FR 33:05
756  Nick Steele FR 33:19
758  Rob Morro FR 33:19
993  Paul Nichols FR 33:38
996  Zach Swenson JR 33:38
1,185  Ben Malone SR 33:54
1,189  Logan Wetzel SO 33:54
National Rank #56 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #6 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.0%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.9%
Top 5 in Regional 34.4%
Top 10 in Regional 99.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andrew Marston Casey Comber Paul Power Martin Barr Nick Steele Rob Morro Paul Nichols Zach Swenson Ben Malone Logan Wetzel
Paul Short Gold 09/29 947 31:46 33:01 33:06 33:24 33:13 33:32 33:42 34:02
Penn State National Open 10/13 882 31:57 32:08 33:02 33:26 33:25 33:29 33:49 33:08 34:03 33:48
Big East Championship 10/28 847 31:56 32:06 32:34 33:16 33:16 33:27 34:03 33:37 33:54
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 795 32:02 32:02 32:40 32:25 33:10 33:16 33:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.0% 28.0 694 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.3
Region Championship 100% 5.9 171 0.9 1.2 4.3 9.0 19.1 35.9 20.3 6.1 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Marston 62.2% 120.3
Casey Comber 61.2% 122.6
Paul Power 2.0% 214.0
Martin Barr 2.0% 215.3
Nick Steele 2.0% 227.0
Rob Morro 2.0% 235.5
Paul Nichols 2.2% 242.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andrew Marston 4.8 5.9 14.5 14.6 9.2 7.9 6.1 4.5 4.5 3.1 2.8 3.0 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.5
Casey Comber 4.8 4.9 13.5 13.3 11.0 9.0 6.1 4.5 3.7 3.5 4.0 2.5 2.2 2.0 2.1 1.7 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.3
Paul Power 43.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.5 0.9 1.7
Martin Barr 50.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7
Nick Steele 63.9 0.1 0.1
Rob Morro 64.0
Paul Nichols 82.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.9% 100.0% 0.9 0.9 1
2 1.2% 100.0% 1.2 1.2 2
3 4.3% 4.3 3
4 9.0% 9.0 4
5 19.1% 19.1 5
6 35.9% 35.9 6
7 20.3% 20.3 7
8 6.1% 6.1 8
9 2.2% 2.2 9
10 0.7% 0.7 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 2.0% 0.9 1.2 98.0 2.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0