Elon
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
312  Nick Ciolkowski JR 32:29
1,753  Richie Kasper SO 34:42
1,919  Colton Lawson SO 34:58
2,003  Michael Germinario SO 35:07
2,331  Josh Kruppa JR 35:54
2,332  Justin Leopold JR 35:54
2,352  Greg Paugh JR 35:58
National Rank #204 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #26 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nick Ciolkowski Richie Kasper Colton Lawson Michael Germinario Josh Kruppa Justin Leopold Greg Paugh
Paul Short Brown 09/29 1326 34:45 34:36 37:18 35:56 36:19 35:52
High Point Vertcross 10/13 1330 34:46 34:52 35:11 36:10 36:37
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 32:33
CAA Championship 10/28 1210 32:48 34:52 34:46 34:41 36:11 35:26
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 1215 32:30 34:39 35:22 34:53 36:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 27.7 829 0.1 1.3 7.6 14.7 15.4 14.2 12.4 9.9 8.0 5.9



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Ciolkowski 0.0% 74.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nick Ciolkowski 44.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.7
Richie Kasper 169.6
Colton Lawson 184.2
Michael Germinario 193.3
Josh Kruppa 234.9
Justin Leopold 234.5
Greg Paugh 236.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 1.3% 1.3 23
24 7.6% 7.6 24
25 14.7% 14.7 25
26 15.4% 15.4 26
27 14.2% 14.2 27
28 12.4% 12.4 28
29 9.9% 9.9 29
30 8.0% 8.0 30
31 5.9% 5.9 31
32 6.2% 6.2 32
33 4.1% 4.1 33
34 0.5% 0.5 34
35 0.1% 0.1 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0