Tennessee
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
156  Zach Long JR 32:01
421  Wesley Robinson JR 32:41
514  John Elrod FR 32:51
581  Alex Crigger FR 32:59
751  Conner Hawkins FR 33:18
848  Andre Hillsman JR 33:27
880  Gashaw Duhamel SO 33:29
1,090  Brad Swiney SO 33:45
1,514  Drew Kelley SR 34:21
1,760  Adam Johnston FR 34:43
2,098  David Savic SO 35:19
National Rank #65 of 315
South Region Rank #6 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.3%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 40.1%
Top 10 in Regional 96.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Zach Long Wesley Robinson John Elrod Alex Crigger Conner Hawkins Andre Hillsman Gashaw Duhamel Brad Swiney Drew Kelley Adam Johnston David Savic
Bulldog SEC Preview 09/09 989 32:21 32:47 33:06 33:01 33:39 33:20 34:39
Paul Short Gold 09/29 973 31:52 32:50 33:14 33:39 33:41 33:26 34:11 34:09 34:15 35:06
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 33:08 33:30 34:01 35:18
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 830 31:47 32:39 32:41 33:00 32:35 33:30 33:50
SEC Championship 10/27 799 31:45 32:18 32:30 32:42 34:00 33:11 33:10 33:17 34:58 34:59
South Region Championships 11/10 877 32:09 32:21 32:51 32:45 33:02 33:14 33:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.3% 30.4 794 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9
Region Championship 100% 6.4 207 1.2 2.7 10.8 25.5 19.3 14.3 10.7 6.8 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.5 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Long 5.8% 111.5
Wesley Robinson 1.3% 182.5
John Elrod 1.3% 210.5
Alex Crigger 1.3% 211.5
Conner Hawkins 1.3% 228.8
Andre Hillsman 1.4% 239.5
Gashaw Duhamel 1.3% 242.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Long 13.9 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.7 6.4 7.2 7.0 8.9 7.9 6.0 5.0 5.4 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.3 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.4 0.9
Wesley Robinson 33.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.3 3.3 3.6 4.1
John Elrod 40.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4
Alex Crigger 46.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3
Conner Hawkins 65.2
Andre Hillsman 73.4
Gashaw Duhamel 77.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 1.2% 100.0% 1.2 1.2 2
3 2.7% 1.9% 0.1 2.6 0.1 3
4 10.8% 10.8 4
5 25.5% 25.5 5
6 19.3% 19.3 6
7 14.3% 14.3 7
8 10.7% 10.7 8
9 6.8% 6.8 9
10 5.3% 5.3 10
11 2.4% 2.4 11
12 0.7% 0.7 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 1.3% 1.2 0.1 98.8 1.2 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 31.5% 1.0 0.3
Texas A&M 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 3.0 0.0
Auburn 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0