Manhattan
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,193  Lisa Fajardo FR 21:48
1,440  Keeley Hogan FR 22:05
1,448  Lorraine Brancale SR 22:05
1,785  Erin Spadacinni FR 22:28
1,938  Alexa Roda SO 22:38
1,999  Kaitlyn Smith SO 22:43
2,195  Samantha Manalastas SO 22:57
2,203  Samantha Hoagland FR 22:58
2,392  Grace Ostolozaga SO 23:14
2,465  Gianna Tinto FR 23:22
2,624  Caroline Ferri FR 23:39
2,636  Kelly Gorman SO 23:41
2,639  Victoria Cruz FR 23:41
3,081  MaryKate Himmelberg FR 25:05
3,088  Erin Von Dollen FR 25:07
3,270  Lauren Valle JR 26:27
National Rank #220 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #28 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lisa Fajardo Keeley Hogan Lorraine Brancale Erin Spadacinni Alexa Roda Kaitlyn Smith Samantha Manalastas Samantha Hoagland Grace Ostolozaga Gianna Tinto Caroline Ferri
Metropolitan Championship 10/09 1258 22:00 21:42 22:03 23:03 22:24 22:44 23:25 22:43 23:11 22:50 23:30
Ualbany Invite 10/17 1263 21:53 22:02 22:00 22:35 22:45 22:54 23:05 23:11 23:26 23:32 23:35
MAAC Championships 10/31 1247 21:30 22:08 22:00 22:22 22:46 22:30 22:46 23:00 23:10 23:35 24:08
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 1270 21:52 22:52 21:59 22:03 22:48 22:45 23:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 28.5 830 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 2.1 3.5 5.4 7.5 11.1 13.2 13.6 14.4 11.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lisa Fajardo 135.3
Keeley Hogan 156.9
Lorraine Brancale 157.4
Erin Spadacinni 187.7
Alexa Roda 200.7
Kaitlyn Smith 205.1
Samantha Manalastas 219.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 0.9% 0.9 21
22 1.2% 1.2 22
23 2.1% 2.1 23
24 3.5% 3.5 24
25 5.4% 5.4 25
26 7.5% 7.5 26
27 11.1% 11.1 27
28 13.2% 13.2 28
29 13.6% 13.6 29
30 14.4% 14.4 30
31 11.7% 11.7 31
32 8.8% 8.8 32
33 4.9% 4.9 33
34 0.7% 0.7 34
35 0.1% 0.1 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0