Montana
Men
-
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
66 |
Makena Morley |
FR |
19:54 |
1,058 |
Emily Pittis |
FR |
21:39 |
1,129 |
Reagan Colyer |
SO |
21:44 |
1,341 |
Lauryn Wate |
JR |
21:58 |
1,391 |
Jessica Bailey |
FR |
22:02 |
1,625 |
Heather Fraley |
SR |
22:18 |
1,626 |
Emily Cheroske |
SO |
22:18 |
1,804 |
Bridget Creel |
FR |
22:29 |
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National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
0.4% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Makena Morley |
Emily Pittis |
Reagan Colyer |
Lauryn Wate |
Jessica Bailey |
Heather Fraley |
Emily Cheroske |
Bridget Creel |
Montana Invitational |
10/03 |
1251 |
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22:05 |
21:48 |
22:24 |
22:03 |
22:08 |
22:20 |
22:16 |
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) |
10/17 |
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20:08 |
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Inland Empire Championships |
10/17 |
1225 |
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21:21 |
21:27 |
21:43 |
22:22 |
22:11 |
22:19 |
23:06 |
Big Sky Championships |
10/31 |
1027 |
19:37 |
21:41 |
21:58 |
22:00 |
21:46 |
22:52 |
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22:20 |
Mountain Region Championships |
11/13 |
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19:51 |
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NCAA Championship |
11/21 |
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20:03 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
15.0 |
417 |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
6.9 |
12.2 |
17.1 |
18.5 |
19.3 |
16.2 |
7.1 |
0.4 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Makena Morley |
76.2% |
67.4 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Makena Morley |
13.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
Emily Pittis |
92.4 |
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Reagan Colyer |
96.9 |
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Lauryn Wate |
106.9 |
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Jessica Bailey |
109.9 |
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Heather Fraley |
118.0 |
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Emily Cheroske |
118.4 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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2 |
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3 |
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3 |
4 |
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4 |
5 |
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5 |
6 |
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6 |
7 |
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7 |
8 |
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8 |
9 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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9 |
10 |
0.3% |
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0.3 |
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10 |
11 |
1.9% |
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1.9 |
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11 |
12 |
6.9% |
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6.9 |
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12 |
13 |
12.2% |
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12.2 |
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13 |
14 |
17.1% |
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17.1 |
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14 |
15 |
18.5% |
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18.5 |
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15 |
16 |
19.3% |
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19.3 |
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16 |
17 |
16.2% |
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16.2 |
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17 |
18 |
7.1% |
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7.1 |
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18 |
19 |
0.4% |
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0.4 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |