TCU
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
816  Bailey Sullivan SO 21:21
1,427  Nicole Hicks SO 22:04
1,529  Brenley Goertzen FR 22:12
1,593  Madison Weinstock FR 22:16
1,869  Emily Suarez FR 22:33
2,193  Erin Barth FR 22:57
2,310  Dominique Tilly SO 23:07
National Rank #211 of 339
South Central Region Rank #14 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 15.1%
Top 20 in Regional 99.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Bailey Sullivan Nicole Hicks Brenley Goertzen Madison Weinstock Emily Suarez Erin Barth Dominique Tilly
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 1247 21:20 22:01 22:32 22:24 22:37
Longhorn Invitational 10/02 1269 21:49 21:59 22:05 22:22 22:59 23:10
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 1240 21:24 21:37 22:28 22:19 22:31 22:58
Big 12 Championships 10/31 1248 21:04 22:21 22:05 22:14 23:40 23:22 23:06
South Central Region Championships 11/13 21:21 22:46 22:07





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 13.1 397 0.1 1.9 13.1 17.0 15.5 14.4 11.2 8.7 6.7 5.2 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Sullivan 44.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
Nicole Hicks 77.6
Brenley Goertzen 83.1
Madison Weinstock 86.6
Emily Suarez 101.2
Erin Barth 122.9
Dominique Tilly 132.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 1.9% 1.9 9
10 13.1% 13.1 10
11 17.0% 17.0 11
12 15.5% 15.5 12
13 14.4% 14.4 13
14 11.2% 11.2 14
15 8.7% 8.7 15
16 6.7% 6.7 16
17 5.2% 5.2 17
18 3.1% 3.1 18
19 1.7% 1.7 19
20 0.9% 0.9 20
21 0.3% 0.3 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0