UMKC
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
602  Sarah Fogarty JR 21:04
725  Chandler Carreon SO 21:14
1,202  Tabitha Griffith FR 21:49
1,420  Kelly Carpenter JR 22:04
1,902  Gabrielle Penaflor JR 22:36
2,592  Elizabeth Nolke SO 23:35
2,805  Katie Tuck JR 24:04
2,938  Hanna Miller SO 24:33
National Rank #174 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #23 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 24th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 8.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Fogarty Chandler Carreon Tabitha Griffith Kelly Carpenter Gabrielle Penaflor Elizabeth Nolke Katie Tuck Hanna Miller
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 1208 20:49 21:24 21:51 22:01 23:31 23:21
Rim Rock Classic 10/03 1668 24:46
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 1197 20:57 21:10 22:06 22:08 22:40 23:27
Western Athletic Conference Championships 10/31 1222 21:19 21:40 21:27 22:10 22:23 23:14 24:48 24:16
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 1284 21:18 20:54 22:03 22:44 25:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.0 625 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 2.1 3.4 6.1 9.9 13.4 17.3 16.4 15.2 9.6 3.3 0.7 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Fogarty 65.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Chandler Carreon 80.5 0.0
Tabitha Griffith 131.0
Kelly Carpenter 154.3
Gabrielle Penaflor 192.5
Elizabeth Nolke 218.7
Katie Tuck 224.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.3% 0.3 16
17 0.8% 0.8 17
18 1.1% 1.1 18
19 2.1% 2.1 19
20 3.4% 3.4 20
21 6.1% 6.1 21
22 9.9% 9.9 22
23 13.4% 13.4 23
24 17.3% 17.3 24
25 16.4% 16.4 25
26 15.2% 15.2 26
27 9.6% 9.6 27
28 3.3% 3.3 28
29 0.7% 0.7 29
30 0.0% 0.0 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0