Missouri State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
793  Cindy Forde SR 21:19
2,189  Jade Raynor FR 22:57
2,216  Savannah Beaver JR 22:59
2,383  Jessica Allen SO 23:13
2,559  Kaitlyn Cravens SO 23:31
2,572  Alyson Jones FR 23:33
2,782  Tenaly Smith SR 24:01
2,860  Renae Buschling FR 24:15
2,962  Claire Schwarz FR 24:38
2,978  Megan Nickles JR 24:42
3,080  Mercedes Robinson FR 25:05
3,087  Amber Obermaier FR 25:07
National Rank #263 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #31 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cindy Forde Jade Raynor Savannah Beaver Jessica Allen Kaitlyn Cravens Alyson Jones Tenaly Smith Renae Buschling Claire Schwarz Megan Nickles Mercedes Robinson
Chile Pepper Festival 10/02 1318 21:28 22:47 22:44 23:09 23:40 24:08 24:05 24:31
Little Rock Invitational 10/17 1321 21:35 23:31 22:40 22:34 23:33 23:51 24:16 24:40 24:51 24:17
Missouri Valley Conference Championships 10/31 1271 20:35 22:16 23:14 23:49 23:58 23:42 23:57 24:33
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 1377 21:24 23:20 23:28 23:19 24:14 24:47 26:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 30.9 928 0.1 1.6 23.0 60.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cindy Forde 86.8
Jade Raynor 206.7
Savannah Beaver 207.6
Jessica Allen 213.3
Kaitlyn Cravens 217.9
Alyson Jones 218.2
Tenaly Smith 223.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 0.1% 0.1 28
29 1.6% 1.6 29
30 23.0% 23.0 30
31 60.6% 60.6 31
32 13.8% 13.8 32
33 0.9% 0.9 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0