Northern Illinois
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
77  Kelsey Hildreth SO 19:57
693  Ericka Hibser FR 21:12
1,114  Carly Pederson JR 21:43
1,158  Lorena Martin SO 21:46
1,188  Katie Bristow SR 21:48
1,795  Maura Beattie FR 22:28
1,977  Taylor Perkins SO 22:41
2,397  Michaela Heit FR 23:15
2,808  Kayla Fallis FR 24:05
National Rank #104 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #13 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.6%
Top 20 in Regional 81.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kelsey Hildreth Ericka Hibser Carly Pederson Lorena Martin Katie Bristow Maura Beattie Taylor Perkins Michaela Heit Kayla Fallis
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 1034 19:36 21:32 21:53 22:18 22:37
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (Red) 10/16 1117 20:24 21:15 21:37 21:49 22:37 22:47
Bradley 'Pink' Classic Invitational (White) 10/16 23:16 24:06
Mid American Conference Championships 10/31 1008 19:56 20:55 21:36 22:16 21:27 22:14 22:18
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 1234 21:11 21:45 21:36 22:13 22:55 23:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.1 470 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.8 4.5 6.7 7.4 8.9 9.8 10.8 9.6 9.5 8.9 7.5 5.2 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Hildreth 20.1% 61.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Hildreth 10.1 0.9 2.0 3.7 5.3 6.1 6.4 6.7 6.7 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.2 4.9 3.8 3.8 3.2 3.4 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.9
Ericka Hibser 76.6 0.0
Carly Pederson 121.7
Lorena Martin 126.3
Katie Bristow 129.4
Maura Beattie 185.8
Taylor Perkins 197.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 1.7% 1.7 10
11 2.8% 2.8 11
12 4.5% 4.5 12
13 6.7% 6.7 13
14 7.4% 7.4 14
15 8.9% 8.9 15
16 9.8% 9.8 16
17 10.8% 10.8 17
18 9.6% 9.6 18
19 9.5% 9.5 19
20 8.9% 8.9 20
21 7.5% 7.5 21
22 5.2% 5.2 22
23 2.8% 2.8 23
24 1.6% 1.6 24
25 0.7% 0.7 25
26 0.2% 0.2 26
27 0.1% 0.1 27
28 0.0% 0.0 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0