TCU
Men
-
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
816 |
Bailey Sullivan |
SO |
21:21 |
1,427 |
Nicole Hicks |
SO |
22:04 |
1,529 |
Brenley Goertzen |
FR |
22:12 |
1,593 |
Madison Weinstock |
FR |
22:16 |
1,869 |
Emily Suarez |
FR |
22:33 |
2,193 |
Erin Barth |
FR |
22:57 |
2,310 |
Dominique Tilly |
SO |
23:07 |
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National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
15.1% |
Top 20 in Regional |
99.5% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Bailey Sullivan |
Nicole Hicks |
Brenley Goertzen |
Madison Weinstock |
Emily Suarez |
Erin Barth |
Dominique Tilly |
Texas A&M Invitational |
09/26 |
1247 |
21:20 |
22:01 |
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22:32 |
22:24 |
22:37 |
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Longhorn Invitational |
10/02 |
1269 |
21:49 |
21:59 |
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22:05 |
22:22 |
22:59 |
23:10 |
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) |
10/17 |
1240 |
21:24 |
21:37 |
22:28 |
22:19 |
22:31 |
22:58 |
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Big 12 Championships |
10/31 |
1248 |
21:04 |
22:21 |
22:05 |
22:14 |
23:40 |
23:22 |
23:06 |
South Central Region Championships |
11/13 |
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21:21 |
22:46 |
22:07 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
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20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
13.1 |
397 |
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0.1 |
1.9 |
13.1 |
17.0 |
15.5 |
14.4 |
11.2 |
8.7 |
6.7 |
5.2 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
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9 |
10 |
11 |
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18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Bailey Sullivan |
44.8 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
Nicole Hicks |
77.6 |
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Brenley Goertzen |
83.1 |
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Madison Weinstock |
86.6 |
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Emily Suarez |
101.2 |
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Erin Barth |
122.9 |
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Dominique Tilly |
132.9 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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4 |
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4 |
5 |
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5 |
6 |
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6 |
7 |
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7 |
8 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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8 |
9 |
1.9% |
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1.9 |
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9 |
10 |
13.1% |
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13.1 |
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10 |
11 |
17.0% |
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17.0 |
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11 |
12 |
15.5% |
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15.5 |
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12 |
13 |
14.4% |
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14.4 |
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13 |
14 |
11.2% |
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11.2 |
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14 |
15 |
8.7% |
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8.7 |
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15 |
16 |
6.7% |
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6.7 |
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16 |
17 |
5.2% |
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5.2 |
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17 |
18 |
3.1% |
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3.1 |
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18 |
19 |
1.7% |
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1.7 |
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19 |
20 |
0.9% |
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0.9 |
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20 |
21 |
0.3% |
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0.3 |
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21 |
22 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |