Texas
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
139  Sandie Raines SR 20:09
301  Meghan Lloyd SO 20:33
387  Abby Guidry FR 20:44
417  Mary Beth Hamilton JR 20:47
437  Destiny Collins FR 20:49
479  Alex Cruz SO 20:54
1,134  Hannah Grubb JR 21:40
1,208  Marissa Flournoy FR 21:45
1,236  Jordan Welborn SO 21:46
1,308  Abigail Hirst FR 21:51
1,335  Skyler Bollinger FR 21:52
1,955  Katie Ruhala SR 22:30
National Rank #51 of 344
South Central Region Rank #5 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.1%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.4%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 95.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sandie Raines Meghan Lloyd Abby Guidry Mary Beth Hamilton Destiny Collins Alex Cruz Hannah Grubb Marissa Flournoy Jordan Welborn Abigail Hirst Skyler Bollinger
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 939 20:54 20:43 20:39 20:53 20:42 21:40 21:46 22:01 21:57
Penn State National Open 10/14 776 20:02 20:28 20:39 20:53 20:40 20:56 21:29 21:38 21:48
Big 12 Championship 10/29 785 20:01 20:23 20:53 20:32 21:29 20:59 22:45 22:27 22:05 21:50
South Central Region Championships 11/11 714 20:06 20:14 20:45 20:40 20:29 21:35 21:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.1% 26.7 629 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.6
Region Championship 100% 4.4 120 0.2 2.0 14.1 32.7 46.5 4.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sandie Raines 50.0% 105.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Meghan Lloyd 6.4% 168.0
Abby Guidry 3.5% 189.5
Mary Beth Hamilton 3.3% 184.8
Destiny Collins 3.3% 197.8
Alex Cruz 3.2% 197.0
Hannah Grubb 3.1% 247.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sandie Raines 11.5 0.4 1.8 2.4 3.9 3.5 5.3 4.7 6.2 6.6 6.7 5.8 6.4 5.2 5.6 5.1 5.4 5.2 4.5 3.8 4.0 2.9 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.4
Meghan Lloyd 22.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.5 2.1 3.1 2.8 4.2 3.5 5.1 6.2 8.0 8.0 9.1 6.7 5.6
Abby Guidry 26.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.5 6.9 6.5
Mary Beth Hamilton 28.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.6 4.0 4.3 5.9 5.7
Destiny Collins 29.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 1.9 3.3 3.8 5.0 5.0
Alex Cruz 32.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 2.2 2.2 3.6 3.8
Hannah Grubb 61.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 2.0% 100.0% 2.0 2.0 2
3 14.1% 6.8% 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 13.1 1.0 3
4 32.7% 32.7 4
5 46.5% 46.5 5
6 4.6% 4.6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 3.1% 0.2 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 96.9 2.2 1.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0