Vanderbilt
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
98  Sara Tsai SO 20:02
394  Maddie Criscione JR 20:44
402  Reagan Anderson SR 20:45
418  Carmen Carlos SR 20:47
564  Megan Huebner JR 21:02
788  Ginger Hutton SO 21:17
862  Mailin Struck FR 21:23
968  Devon Grisbaum SO 21:30
1,298  Lauren Moffett FR 21:50
1,390  Courtney Kriegshauser JR 21:56
1,457  Reagan Bustamante FR 22:00
1,964  Kendall Derry FR 22:31
National Rank #59 of 344
South Region Rank #5 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 7.2%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 1.1%
Top 5 in Regional 70.0%
Top 10 in Regional 99.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sara Tsai Maddie Criscione Reagan Anderson Carmen Carlos Megan Huebner Ginger Hutton Mailin Struck Devon Grisbaum Lauren Moffett Courtney Kriegshauser Reagan Bustamante
Commadore Classic 09/17 756 19:53 20:28 20:36 20:39 21:27 21:10 20:54 21:13 21:48 22:09
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 950 20:14 20:48 20:49 21:03 21:17 21:27 21:40 22:17
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1215 21:04 21:25 22:00 22:20
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 950 19:59 21:08 20:51 21:06 21:32 21:17 22:12
SEC Championship 10/28 844 19:55 20:43 20:48 20:49 20:56 21:14 21:35 21:57 22:19 22:00 21:17
South Region Championships 11/11 775 19:51 20:25 20:46 20:39 21:25 21:03 21:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 7.2% 27.9 666 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.9
Region Championship 100% 4.9 182 1.1 4.2 12.6 24.9 27.4 15.6 7.0 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sara Tsai 34.1% 75.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Maddie Criscione 7.2% 187.5
Reagan Anderson 7.3% 183.8
Carmen Carlos 7.2% 191.0
Megan Huebner 7.2% 216.7
Ginger Hutton 7.2% 233.7
Mailin Struck 7.2% 239.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sara Tsai 7.8 3.6 5.0 7.3 6.6 7.3 7.4 7.6 6.9 6.1 4.8 4.5 5.1 4.3 3.5 2.9 2.2 2.7 1.9 1.4 1.9 1.8 1.1 1.2 0.6 1.0
Maddie Criscione 36.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.3 2.3 1.9 1.1
Reagan Anderson 36.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.7 1.8
Carmen Carlos 39.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.6 2.1
Megan Huebner 55.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6
Ginger Hutton 74.3 0.1
Mailin Struck 81.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.1% 100.0% 1.1 1.1 1
2 4.2% 100.0% 4.2 4.2 2
3 12.6% 9.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.4 1.2 3
4 24.9% 1.6% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 24.5 0.4 4
5 27.4% 1.5% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 27.0 0.4 5
6 15.6% 0.3% 0.1 15.6 0.1 6
7 7.0% 7.0 7
8 4.2% 4.2 8
9 2.1% 2.1 9
10 0.7% 0.7 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 7.2% 1.1 4.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 92.8 5.2 2.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
Florida 27.8% 1.0 0.3
Missouri 24.4% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 1.0 0.1
Kentucky 11.3% 1.0 0.1
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Butler 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 2.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0