Florida
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
87  Elisabeth Bergh SO 19:59
203  Jessica Pascoe FR 20:19
206  Taylor Tubbs SR 20:19
429  Noora Wallenius SO 20:48
528  Hannah Brookover FR 20:59
638  Maddox Patterson SO 21:08
1,375  Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell SO 21:55
1,411  Maggie Parrish FR 21:57
1,554  Becky Greene JR 22:06
National Rank #38 of 344
South Region Rank #3 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 29.1%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.1%


Regional Champion 7.5%
Top 5 in Regional 93.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elisabeth Bergh Jessica Pascoe Taylor Tubbs Noora Wallenius Hannah Brookover Maddox Patterson Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell Maggie Parrish Becky Greene
Gator Cross Country Invitational 09/24 739 19:54 20:16 20:37 21:07 21:10 21:54 21:48
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 717 20:08 20:06 20:34 20:51 21:18 21:41 22:11
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 717 19:57 20:21 20:12 20:52 21:03 21:00 22:28
SEC Championship 10/28 819 19:46 20:27 20:37 21:14 21:09 22:02
South Region Championships 11/11 899 20:00 20:41 20:43 21:04 21:50 21:46 22:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 29.1% 24.5 576 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 2.3 2.5 2.2 1.6
Region Championship 100% 3.3 135 7.5 20.1 35.9 19.7 10.2 4.2 1.9 0.3 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elisabeth Bergh 49.6% 68.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.5
Jessica Pascoe 29.9% 121.6 0.1
Taylor Tubbs 30.2% 125.2 0.1
Noora Wallenius 29.1% 203.3
Hannah Brookover 29.1% 218.7
Maddox Patterson 29.1% 229.7
Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell 29.1% 250.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elisabeth Bergh 6.3 4.7 7.9 8.6 9.3 9.2 8.0 7.3 6.3 5.7 5.4 4.4 4.0 4.0 2.6 2.2 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3
Jessica Pascoe 16.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 1.0 1.5 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.9 4.7 4.4 4.4 5.2 4.6 5.4 4.6 4.1 4.1 4.9 3.4 3.8 3.4 3.3 2.5 2.6
Taylor Tubbs 16.7 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.7 3.4 3.6 3.3 3.9 5.1 4.3 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.2 3.6 4.0 3.9 4.2 3.8 3.2 3.2 2.7
Noora Wallenius 39.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.1 1.3 2.0 1.6 1.6
Hannah Brookover 50.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6
Maddox Patterson 61.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Caitlin McQuilkin-Bell 117.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 7.5% 100.0% 7.5 7.5 1
2 20.1% 100.0% 20.1 20.1 2
3 35.9% 3.6% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 34.6 1.3 3
4 19.7% 0.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 19.6 0.2 4
5 10.2% 10.2 5
6 4.2% 4.2 6
7 1.9% 1.9 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 29.1% 7.5 20.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 71.0 27.6 1.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Virginia 24.8% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Kentucky 12.1% 1.0 0.1
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 2.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 2.0 0.0
Auburn 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0