UMKC
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
458  Sarah Fogarty SR 20:47
506  Chandler Carreon SR 20:51
518  Mia Jerman SO 20:52
1,493  Katherine Hanners FR 21:59
1,551  Elizabeth Nolke SR 22:03
2,409  Megan Mills SR 23:07
National Rank #125 of 348
Midwest Region Rank #16 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.3%
Top 20 in Regional 81.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Fogarty Chandler Carreon Mia Jerman Katherine Hanners Elizabeth Nolke Megan Mills
Rim Rock Farm Classic 09/30 1032 20:32 21:04 20:30 22:04 21:48 22:18
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1120 20:56 20:42 21:13 22:05 21:58 23:15
WAC Championship 10/28 1054 20:52 20:57 20:26 22:01 22:19 22:50
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 1074 20:42 20:35 21:17 21:46 21:55 23:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.2 479 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.6 5.9 7.5 10.6 12.2 11.1 10.2 8.6 7.0 6.1 5.5 2.8 2.6 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Fogarty 44.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.2 1.4 1.3
Chandler Carreon 49.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.0
Mia Jerman 50.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3
Katherine Hanners 162.0
Elizabeth Nolke 168.1
Megan Mills 224.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 7
8 0.4% 0.4 8
9 0.5% 0.5 9
10 1.4% 1.4 10
11 2.6% 2.6 11
12 3.6% 3.6 12
13 5.9% 5.9 13
14 7.5% 7.5 14
15 10.6% 10.6 15
16 12.2% 12.2 16
17 11.1% 11.1 17
18 10.2% 10.2 18
19 8.6% 8.6 19
20 7.0% 7.0 20
21 6.1% 6.1 21
22 5.5% 5.5 22
23 2.8% 2.8 23
24 2.6% 2.6 24
25 1.0% 1.0 25
26 0.7% 0.7 26
27 0.1% 0.1 27
28 0.1% 0.1 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0