Dartmouth
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
165  Olivia Lantz JR 20:10
246  Ella Ketchum FR 20:23
305  Julia Stevenson SO 20:32
322  Leigh Moffett SR 20:33
462  Glendora Murphy FR 20:47
492  Bridget O'Neill SR 20:50
525  Lillian Anderson JR 20:53
638  Bridget Flynn SR 21:03
658  Abby Livingston SR 21:05
835  Abigail Brazil FR 21:18
995  Rachel Ludwikowski FR 21:28
1,048  Margaret Tuthill SO 21:31
National Rank #45 of 348
Northeast Region Rank #6 of 44
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 25.6%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.7%


Regional Champion 5.4%
Top 5 in Regional 68.7%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Olivia Lantz Ella Ketchum Julia Stevenson Leigh Moffett Glendora Murphy Bridget O'Neill Lillian Anderson Bridget Flynn Abby Livingston Abigail Brazil Rachel Ludwikowski
Maribel Sanchez Souther Invitational 09/09 824 20:16 20:21 21:04 20:41 20:50 20:53 21:02 21:18 21:40
Coast-To-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/22 768 20:08 20:14 20:50 21:04 20:40 20:59 20:46 20:57
Penn State National Open 10/13 696 20:09 20:35 20:30 20:10 20:43 21:13 20:46 21:02 21:01
Ivy League Championship 10/27 646 20:03 20:18 20:14 20:30 20:51 20:41 20:49 21:26 21:07 21:16 21:20
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 743 20:22 20:35 20:10 20:41 20:38 20:43 20:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 25.6% 26.3 632 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.6 2.9 2.7 4.2 3.0
Region Championship 100% 4.5 149 5.4 12.3 17.6 17.2 16.2 14.9 10.4 4.0 1.4 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lantz 31.8% 113.8
Ella Ketchum 26.1% 151.0
Julia Stevenson 25.7% 172.3
Leigh Moffett 25.7% 174.4
Glendora Murphy 25.6% 206.4
Bridget O'Neill 25.6% 211.6
Lillian Anderson 25.6% 214.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lantz 13.8 0.3 0.6 1.9 2.0 3.5 4.9 3.8 5.2 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.6 6.8 6.0 4.6 4.5 4.3 2.8 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.4
Ella Ketchum 23.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.9 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 4.0 3.7 3.3 4.6 3.6 3.6 3.6
Julia Stevenson 30.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.0
Leigh Moffett 31.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.8 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.4 2.5
Glendora Murphy 47.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.0
Bridget O'Neill 51.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.7
Lillian Anderson 55.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.4% 100.0% 5.4 5.4 1
2 12.3% 100.0% 12.3 12.3 2
3 17.6% 28.1% 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 12.7 5.0 3
4 17.2% 9.3% 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 15.6 1.6 4
5 16.2% 7.1% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 15.1 1.2 5
6 14.9% 1.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.7 0.2 6
7 10.4% 10.4 7
8 4.0% 4.0 8
9 1.4% 1.4 9
10 0.7% 0.7 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
Total 100% 25.6% 5.4 12.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 74.4 17.7 7.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Cornell 13.1% 2.0 0.3
Oklahoma State 12.1% 1.0 0.1
Princeton 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0