Liberty
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
905  Noel Palmer FR 21:22
1,184  Kammi Kurtz JR 21:40
1,510  Brooke Turner SO 22:00
1,731  Alyssa Karle SR 22:15
2,030  Lauren Hirneisen FR 22:34
2,120  Mary Kate McElroy FR 22:40
2,215  Kelly Shaffer SO 22:48
2,307  Gabby Delbo SO 22:58
2,366  Torree Scull JR 23:03
2,496  Erin Hansel SO 23:15
3,092  Clara Lynch FR 25:01
National Rank #212 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #27 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 1.1%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Noel Palmer Kammi Kurtz Brooke Turner Alyssa Karle Lauren Hirneisen Mary Kate McElroy Kelly Shaffer Gabby Delbo Torree Scull Erin Hansel Clara Lynch
Big South Conference Preview 09/16 1193 20:49 21:53 21:51 22:02 22:41 22:18 22:54 25:13
Paul Short Brown 09/29 1218 21:02 21:44 21:57 22:09 22:44 22:28 23:21 22:58 23:17
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1219 21:16 21:18 21:48 22:24 22:25 23:33 23:01 23:04 23:11 24:50
Big South Championship 10/28 1254 22:49 21:29 22:07 22:22 22:30 23:09 22:40 23:16 23:33 23:53
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 1246 21:38 21:50 22:03 22:05 22:35 22:24 22:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 25.4 772 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.1 4.1 6.7 13.5 22.0 22.9 15.9 7.4 3.1 1.4 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noel Palmer 103.8
Kammi Kurtz 131.9
Brooke Turner 160.4
Alyssa Karle 180.3
Lauren Hirneisen 201.6
Mary Kate McElroy 207.7
Kelly Shaffer 214.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 0.6% 0.6 20
21 2.1% 2.1 21
22 4.1% 4.1 22
23 6.7% 6.7 23
24 13.5% 13.5 24
25 22.0% 22.0 25
26 22.9% 22.9 26
27 15.9% 15.9 27
28 7.4% 7.4 28
29 3.1% 3.1 29
30 1.4% 1.4 30
31 0.2% 0.2 31
32 0.1% 0.1 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0