Penn
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
169  Danielle Orie FR 20:12
190  Abigail Hong SR 20:14
740  Karli Visconto JR 21:11
748  Marin Warner JR 21:12
831  Julianna Catania SO 21:17
853  Madeline Villaba SO 21:18
874  Nia Akins SO 21:19
896  Alexandra Huntsman SR 21:21
1,012  Olivia Ryan JR 21:29
1,043  Christina Rancan SO 21:31
1,077  Carole Harsch JR 21:33
1,232  Kylene Cochrane SR 21:43
1,339  Melissa Tanaka FR 21:50
1,444  Niamh Hayes FR 21:57
1,660  Juliet Kohli SO 22:10
2,038  Mikayla Schneider SO 22:35
2,080  Alyssa Condell FR 22:38
2,312  Hannah Connolly-Sporing JR 22:58
2,419  Katherine DeVore SO 23:08
National Rank #72 of 348
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #6 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 22.9%
Top 10 in Regional 98.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Danielle Orie Abigail Hong Karli Visconto Marin Warner Julianna Catania Madeline Villaba Nia Akins Alexandra Huntsman Olivia Ryan Christina Rancan Carole Harsch
Main Line Invitational 09/15 830 20:27 19:51 21:25 20:44 21:09 21:42 21:42 21:00 21:19 21:20 22:01
Paul Short Gold 09/29 824 20:24 20:01 21:11 21:16 20:44 20:51 21:18 21:16 21:13
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 884 20:06 20:11 21:43 21:10 21:07 21:31 21:48
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1207 21:23 21:20 21:36 21:45
Ivy League Championship 10/27 857 20:06 20:10 20:58 21:08 21:17 21:17 21:25 21:48 21:43 21:55 21:33
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 901 20:06 20:34 20:58 21:05 21:24 21:01 21:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 27.7 661 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.7 203 0.5 4.5 18.0 24.4 24.1 16.5 7.9 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danielle Orie 38.1% 123.1 0.1
Abigail Hong 33.6% 130.7
Karli Visconto 0.1% 201.5
Marin Warner 0.1% 232.5
Julianna Catania 0.1% 220.5
Madeline Villaba 0.1% 230.5
Nia Akins 0.1% 231.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danielle Orie 13.1 1.6 1.8 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.5 4.2 4.1 5.6 5.4 4.5 3.9 4.2 4.3 3.5 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.7 2.5 3.1 2.8 1.9 2.2
Abigail Hong 14.1 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.8 2.9 3.7 3.5 4.9 4.1 4.8 4.1 4.7 5.1 4.8 4.3 4.9 3.4 4.1 3.8 3.2 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.8 2.1
Karli Visconto 58.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Marin Warner 60.3 0.1 0.1
Julianna Catania 66.7 0.1
Madeline Villaba 66.8 0.1 0.1
Nia Akins 68.0 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.5% 22.2% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 3
4 4.5% 4.5 4
5 18.0% 0.3% 0.1 17.9 0.1 5
6 24.4% 24.4 6
7 24.1% 24.1 7
8 16.5% 16.5 8
9 7.9% 7.9 9
10 3.2% 3.2 10
11 0.8% 0.8 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9 0.0 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wake Forest 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0