Penn
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
220  Kevin Monogue JR 32:12
265  Christopher Luciano SR 32:21
314  Patrick Hally SR 32:29
457  Aaron Groff SO 32:44
510  Ross Wilson SR 32:51
526  William Daly SO 32:53
532  Colin Daly SO 32:54
566  Anthony Russo FR 32:58
721  Ryan Renken FR 33:15
845  Thomas Connelly SR 33:27
877  Alexander Roth FR 33:29
1,017  Sam Webb JR 33:39
1,039  Zak Ahmad FR 33:41
1,046  Andrew Hally SO 33:41
1,062  Daniel Cohen FR 33:42
1,155  Elias Graca JR 33:51
1,522  Ajay Sarathy FR 34:21
1,788  Thomas Mulroy SR 34:46
2,079  Eric Kennedy FR 35:16
National Rank #55 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #5 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 37.6%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.5%


Regional Champion 16.4%
Top 5 in Regional 90.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kevin Monogue Christopher Luciano Patrick Hally Aaron Groff Ross Wilson William Daly Colin Daly Anthony Russo Ryan Renken Thomas Connelly Alexander Roth
Paul Short Gold 09/29 797 32:00 32:29 32:19 32:37 32:43 32:42 32:59
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 745 31:51 32:03 32:33 32:44 32:28 32:44 33:11
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1075 32:57 33:04 33:27 33:30
Ivy League Championship 10/27 862 32:19 32:25 32:39 32:48 32:47 32:55 33:01 32:34 33:45 33:37
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 870 32:21 32:30 32:23 32:42 32:56 33:16 33:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 37.6% 29.0 741 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.8 3.7 5.5 7.9 12.9
Region Championship 100% 3.3 111 16.4 21.0 20.2 17.9 15.2 7.1 2.2 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Monogue 55.3% 144.8
Christopher Luciano 44.9% 161.9
Patrick Hally 39.8% 177.4
Aaron Groff 37.6% 208.8
Ross Wilson 37.7% 218.4
William Daly 37.8% 221.7
Colin Daly 37.6% 221.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Monogue 8.4 1.6 4.7 6.2 7.2 8.3 8.0 7.3 5.4 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.2 1.7 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.7 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.8
Christopher Luciano 13.9 0.1 1.2 1.7 3.1 4.8 5.2 4.9 5.4 5.0 4.9 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.6 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.1 2.3 2.4 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.4
Patrick Hally 18.1 0.2 0.3 1.4 2.1 2.4 3.3 4.4 3.1 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.4 4.2 3.2 3.9 3.4 3.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.0
Aaron Groff 31.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 1.9 3.0 2.4 2.4
Ross Wilson 37.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 1.8 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.9 1.3 2.2 2.2
William Daly 39.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.9
Colin Daly 40.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.3 0.9 1.9 1.4 1.7 2.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 16.4% 100.0% 16.4 16.4 1
2 21.0% 100.0% 21.0 21.0 2
3 20.2% 1.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 19.9 0.3 3
4 17.9% 0.3% 0.1 17.8 0.1 4
5 15.2% 15.2 5
6 7.1% 7.1 6
7 2.2% 2.2 7
8 0.4% 0.4 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 37.6% 16.4 21.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 62.4 37.3 0.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Navy 32.9% 1.0 0.3
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Villanova 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Army West Point 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0