All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| Date | | |
9/2 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
235 | |
197 |
654 |
223 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
197 |
235 |
223 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| 21 |
Ian Baker |
11 |
15:56 |
16:01 |
15:57 |
|
15:50 |
| 40 |
Sherjeel Khan |
12 |
16:12 |
15:49 |
16:18 |
|
16:18 |
| 72 |
Brandon Haas |
10 |
16:27 |
16:32 |
16:12 |
|
16:30 |
| 115 |
Elijah Balbach |
10 |
16:40 |
16:45 |
16:30 |
|
16:40 |
| 238 |
Sudharshan Srinivasan |
12 |
17:04 |
17:04 |
16:45 |
|
17:20 |
| 250 |
Cooper Tedford |
12 |
17:06 |
17:06 |
17:15 |
|
17:03 |
| 256 |
Clayton Kaneversky |
|
17:07 |
17:03 |
|
17:15 |
17:05 |
| 274 |
Joseph Kerzee |
11 |
17:10 |
17:28 |
17:21 |
17:07 |
16:47 |
| 304 |
Gavin Nelson |
9 |
17:15 |
|
17:12 |
|
17:16 |
| 323 |
Will Moser |
12 |
17:19 |
17:58 |
17:16 |
|
17:06 |
| 352 |
Josh Waggoner |
12 |
17:23 |
17:24 |
17:08 |
|
17:33 |
| 448 |
Paul Cormany |
12 |
17:36 |
17:21 |
17:27 |
17:47 |
17:43 |
| 556 |
Tristan Ball |
12 |
17:47 |
18:10 |
17:09 |
18:47 |
17:28 |
| 637 |
Hunter Sardinas |
10 |
17:56 |
|
18:00 |
18:00 |
17:48 |
| 714 |
Keegan Katz |
12 |
18:04 |
17:50 |
17:56 |
18:06 |
18:19 |
| 860 |
Aaron Ferkowicz |
11 |
18:18 |
|
18:28 |
18:17 |
18:10 |
| 941 |
Bennett Peelle |
9 |
18:26 |
|
18:23 |
18:30 |
18:22 |
| 997 |
Joshua Nugent |
10 |
18:32 |
18:33 |
18:36 |
18:41 |
18:11 |
|
Keaton Carnes |
9 |
19:02 |
|
19:00 |
19:16 |
18:53 |
|
Dylan Pressler |
12 |
19:02 |
18:58 |
18:28 |
19:22 |
19:19 |
|
Kase Blickenstaff |
|
19:06 |
|
19:14 |
19:01 |
19:02 |
|
Sammy Trippeer |
9 |
19:06 |
|
19:28 |
19:04 |
18:50 |
|
Jon Rademacher |
12 |
19:16 |
18:36 |
19:16 |
19:40 |
19:16 |
|
Eli Cronin |
9 |
19:16 |
|
19:00 |
19:14 |
19:31 |
|
Sawyer Leming |
12 |
19:17 |
|
19:24 |
19:27 |
19:01 |
|
Carson Willis |
11 |
19:21 |
|
20:04 |
19:19 |
18:47 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
8.1 |
270 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
8.5 |
9.8 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
8.5 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
106 |
1.4 |
19.7 |
75.0 |
3.4 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
41 |
97.7 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
100% |
20.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sherjeel Khan |
100% |
43.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
|
99.5% |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
74.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
93.5% |
| Elijah Balbach |
100% |
115.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66.5% |
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
100% |
184.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.9% |
| Cooper Tedford |
100% |
190.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.4% |
| Clayton Kaneversky |
100% |
191.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
100% |
5.8 |
|
0.4 |
9.8 |
12.4 |
14.0 |
16.2 |
12.9 |
10.5 |
6.8 |
4.9 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Sherjeel Khan |
100% |
12.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
8.5 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
21.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Balbach |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
100% |
49.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Cooper Tedford |
100% |
51.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Clayton Kaneversky |
100% |
53.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
1.7 |
0.7 |
69.6 |
16.8 |
8.2 |
2.9 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sherjeel Khan |
4.0 |
|
2.6 |
26.3 |
20.6 |
16.9 |
13.6 |
11.1 |
5.2 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brandon Haas |
7.4 |
|
|
1.3 |
5.8 |
9.3 |
11.2 |
15.5 |
17.3 |
16.2 |
11.5 |
6.3 |
3.4 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elijah Balbach |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
6.4 |
13.1 |
18.6 |
17.6 |
14.9 |
11.5 |
6.7 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
7.0 |
8.8 |
12.2 |
15.5 |
13.6 |
11.2 |
8.4 |
7.7 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
| Cooper Tedford |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
7.5 |
9.6 |
12.1 |
14.7 |
14.1 |
10.6 |
7.7 |
5.1 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
| Clayton Kaneversky |
17.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
5.3 |
8.5 |
12.9 |
13.0 |
15.1 |
11.2 |
9.4 |
6.3 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
|
