All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
122 | |
81 |
247 |
163 |
214 |
564 |
142 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
81 |
117 |
115 |
120 |
122 |
142 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
|---|
| 3 |
Anthony Provenzano |
12 |
15:17 |
15:10 |
15:10 |
|
|
15:24 |
|
15:29 |
| 8 |
Kyle Grove |
12 |
15:44 |
16:28 |
15:36 |
|
15:42 |
|
|
15:39 |
| 27 |
Thomas Biltimier |
12 |
16:04 |
16:02 |
16:00 |
|
16:05 |
|
|
16:15 |
| 55 |
Kiefer Jay |
11 |
16:20 |
16:21 |
16:08 |
|
16:12 |
|
|
16:43 |
| 77 |
Jack Capes |
11 |
16:28 |
15:52 |
|
|
16:36 |
16:40 |
|
16:22 |
| 80 |
Carter Buhr |
10 |
16:31 |
16:41 |
16:08 |
16:34 |
16:30 |
16:33 |
|
|
| 85 |
Jonah Kaul |
9 |
16:32 |
|
16:37 |
16:24 |
16:36 |
16:25 |
|
|
| 111 |
Joel Spittal |
12 |
16:40 |
17:14 |
16:37 |
16:26 |
16:41 |
16:36 |
|
16:37 |
| 119 |
Max Meisner |
12 |
16:42 |
16:29 |
17:01 |
16:34 |
|
|
|
16:45 |
| 136 |
Deklin Bowser |
10 |
16:47 |
17:25 |
16:45 |
16:37 |
16:33 |
16:52 |
|
|
| 194 |
Josh Cale |
11 |
16:55 |
17:03 |
16:50 |
16:46 |
16:57 |
16:49 |
|
17:02 |
| 269 |
William Gilhooly IV |
11 |
17:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:01 |
17:20 |
| 327 |
Eli Gomez |
11 |
17:20 |
16:57 |
16:59 |
17:04 |
17:30 |
|
17:34 |
17:52 |
| 334 |
Drew Grogan |
12 |
17:21 |
17:17 |
17:09 |
18:06 |
|
|
|
|
| 373 |
Cohen Levy |
11 |
17:26 |
17:20 |
17:13 |
17:39 |
17:35 |
|
17:27 |
17:24 |
| 452 |
Hayden Nagel |
12 |
17:37 |
17:17 |
17:32 |
17:37 |
17:34 |
|
18:04 |
17:36 |
| 489 |
Joey Arroyo |
12 |
17:40 |
18:45 |
|
17:24 |
17:37 |
|
17:44 |
17:34 |
| 514 |
Julien Gourgue |
12 |
17:42 |
|
17:37 |
17:32 |
17:47 |
|
17:40 |
17:50 |
| 533 |
Lucas Bartlett |
9 |
17:45 |
|
18:03 |
18:06 |
17:41 |
|
17:28 |
17:37 |
| 594 |
Ben Meisner |
9 |
17:51 |
|
17:54 |
18:23 |
17:42 |
|
17:37 |
|
| 649 |
Isaac Perrin |
10 |
17:57 |
17:56 |
17:49 |
18:19 |
17:56 |
|
17:52 |
18:00 |
| 885 |
Lucas Mallon |
11 |
18:21 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:40 |
| 918 |
Noah Yoon |
11 |
18:24 |
18:25 |
17:57 |
21:07 |
18:30 |
|
|
18:28 |
| 921 |
Max Bontrager |
11 |
18:24 |
18:11 |
18:24 |
18:40 |
18:21 |
|
18:39 |
18:15 |
| 922 |
Patton Lee |
12 |
18:24 |
18:22 |
|
18:31 |
18:24 |
|
|
18:24 |
| 949 |
Zach Flint |
10 |
18:27 |
18:46 |
18:36 |
18:32 |
18:19 |
|
18:20 |
18:13 |
| 992 |
Amory Spence |
11 |
18:31 |
|
18:44 |
19:10 |
18:19 |
|
18:22 |
18:23 |
| 1,093 |
Drew Huitsing |
11 |
18:40 |
|
18:28 |
18:52 |
18:45 |
|
|
18:36 |
| 1,120 |
Trevor Walton |
9 |
18:43 |
|
18:29 |
19:04 |
18:40 |
|
|
18:41 |
| 1,136 |
Lito Ledezma |
10 |
18:44 |
17:59 |
|
|
19:35 |
|
|
18:37 |
| 1,177 |
Fahed Badreddine |
9 |
18:47 |
|
19:01 |
|
18:43 |
|
|
18:38 |
| 1,214 |
Ishan Choudhary |
11 |
18:50 |
|
|
21:29 |
19:14 |
|
|
18:26 |
| 1,242 |
Sebastian Balarezo |
10 |
18:52 |
18:42 |
18:52 |
19:05 |
18:50 |
|
|
18:52 |
| 1,253 |
Dominic Riego |
11 |
18:53 |
|
18:39 |
|
19:22 |
|
|
18:46 |
| 1,263 |
Grant Lawson |
11 |
18:54 |
18:20 |
20:20 |
19:56 |
18:57 |
|
|
18:44 |
|
Nick Diehl |
9 |
19:04 |
|
19:15 |
19:07 |
19:08 |
|
|
18:44 |
|
Ryland Hill |
12 |
19:07 |
18:31 |
19:03 |
19:13 |
19:17 |
|
|
19:09 |
|
Quinn Brogan |
11 |
19:09 |
|
19:39 |
19:22 |
19:02 |
|
|
18:37 |
|
Gavin Tosh |
12 |
19:30 |
18:53 |
19:59 |
20:06 |
19:32 |
|
|
18:52 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
1.4 |
117 |
76.5 |
16.5 |
4.3 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
48 |
90.3 |
9.0 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
28 |
92.1 |
7.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Provenzano |
100% |
2.1 |
25.3 |
23.7 |
19.5 |
13.0 |
8.8 |
4.8 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Grove |
100% |
10.6 |
|
0.4 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
5.2 |
8.0 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Thomas Biltimier |
100% |
31.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Kiefer Jay |
100% |
58.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
98.6% |
| Jack Capes |
100% |
78.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
93.3% |
| Carter Buhr |
100% |
84.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
89.6% |
| Jonah Kaul |
100% |
88.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
88.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Provenzano |
100% |
1.1 |
45.7 |
50.0 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Grove |
100% |
3.3 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
42.2 |
17.2 |
17.7 |
10.4 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Thomas Biltimier |
100% |
8.3 |
|
|
0.4 |
5.9 |
6.5 |
9.2 |
14.2 |
11.3 |
8.3 |
7.5 |
7.8 |
6.0 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Kiefer Jay |
100% |
16.5 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
6.7 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Capes |
100% |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Carter Buhr |
100% |
23.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Jonah Kaul |
100% |
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Provenzano |
1.0 |
96.2 |
2.6 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyle Grove |
2.0 |
0.2 |
49.0 |
18.0 |
26.5 |
5.1 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Biltimier |
4.9 |
|
0.3 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
33.5 |
22.8 |
12.5 |
7.2 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kiefer Jay |
8.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
3.4 |
10.8 |
16.1 |
16.6 |
16.0 |
15.0 |
9.8 |
5.3 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Jack Capes |
10.7 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
2.3 |
4.7 |
8.0 |
11.7 |
13.1 |
13.4 |
13.9 |
12.9 |
8.6 |
5.5 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Carter Buhr |
11.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
9.4 |
10.2 |
14.3 |
14.6 |
14.9 |
10.8 |
8.1 |
5.0 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Jonah Kaul |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
4.5 |
6.9 |
11.0 |
12.9 |
14.8 |
13.3 |
13.3 |
9.6 |
4.9 |
3.2 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
