All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
117 | |
89 |
244 |
166 |
210 |
548 |
134 |
108 |
925 |
368 |
113 |
111 |
100 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
89 |
112 |
119 |
123 |
117 |
134 |
108 |
117 |
117 |
113 |
111 |
100 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 4 |
Anthony Provenzano |
12 |
15:26 |
15:10 |
15:13 |
|
|
15:25 |
|
15:28 |
15:27 |
|
|
15:31 |
15:34 |
15:27 |
| 6 |
Kyle Grove |
12 |
15:41 |
16:28 |
15:38 |
|
15:43 |
|
|
15:38 |
15:37 |
|
|
15:44 |
15:45 |
15:39 |
| 24 |
Thomas Biltimier |
12 |
16:02 |
16:02 |
16:02 |
|
16:06 |
|
|
16:12 |
16:00 |
|
|
16:06 |
16:00 |
15:55 |
| 53 |
Jack Capes |
11 |
16:18 |
15:52 |
|
|
16:36 |
16:39 |
|
16:20 |
16:22 |
|
|
16:08 |
16:15 |
16:11 |
| 80 |
Kiefer Jay |
11 |
16:28 |
16:21 |
16:10 |
|
16:12 |
|
|
16:39 |
16:36 |
|
|
16:25 |
16:23 |
16:38 |
| 81 |
Carter Buhr |
10 |
16:29 |
16:41 |
16:10 |
16:33 |
16:30 |
16:33 |
|
|
16:19 |
|
|
16:53 |
|
16:22 |
| 98 |
Max Meisner |
12 |
16:33 |
16:29 |
17:02 |
16:33 |
|
|
|
16:42 |
16:24 |
|
|
16:36 |
16:25 |
16:28 |
| 107 |
Jonah Kaul |
9 |
16:36 |
|
16:38 |
16:24 |
16:36 |
16:25 |
|
|
16:42 |
|
16:42 |
|
16:35 |
|
| 128 |
Joel Spittal |
12 |
16:41 |
17:14 |
16:38 |
16:26 |
16:41 |
16:36 |
|
16:34 |
16:59 |
|
16:49 |
|
|
|
| 215 |
Deklin Bowser |
10 |
16:58 |
17:25 |
16:46 |
16:36 |
16:33 |
16:51 |
|
|
17:17 |
|
17:40 |
|
|
|
| 233 |
Josh Cale |
11 |
17:00 |
17:03 |
16:51 |
16:45 |
16:57 |
16:48 |
|
16:59 |
17:17 |
|
17:14 |
|
|
|
| 242 |
William Gilhooly IV |
11 |
17:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
16:59 |
17:15 |
16:57 |
|
16:55 |
|
|
|
| 362 |
Eli Gomez |
11 |
17:21 |
16:57 |
17:00 |
17:02 |
17:29 |
|
17:32 |
17:47 |
17:30 |
|
16:52 |
|
|
|
| 416 |
Cohen Levy |
11 |
17:29 |
17:20 |
17:14 |
17:37 |
17:34 |
|
17:25 |
17:22 |
17:16 |
|
18:23 |
|
|
|
| 459 |
Drew Grogan |
12 |
17:34 |
17:17 |
17:10 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 482 |
Lucas Bartlett |
9 |
17:37 |
|
18:02 |
18:03 |
17:39 |
|
17:25 |
17:31 |
17:37 |
|
17:25 |
|
|
|
| 512 |
Joey Arroyo |
12 |
17:40 |
18:45 |
|
17:22 |
17:35 |
|
17:41 |
17:32 |
17:48 |
|
17:53 |
|
|
|
| 521 |
Hayden Nagel |
12 |
17:41 |
17:17 |
17:33 |
17:34 |
17:33 |
|
18:01 |
17:34 |
17:22 |
|
18:24 |
|
|
|
| 537 |
Julien Gourgue |
12 |
17:44 |
|
17:37 |
17:30 |
17:46 |
|
17:37 |
17:47 |
17:54 |
|
17:44 |
|
|
|
| 582 |
Ben Meisner |
9 |
17:49 |
|
17:54 |
18:20 |
17:40 |
|
17:34 |
|
17:48 |
|
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 630 |
Lucas Mallon |
11 |
17:54 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:36 |
17:45 |
|
17:42 |
|
|
|
| 662 |
Isaac Perrin |
10 |
17:56 |
17:56 |
17:49 |
18:15 |
17:55 |
|
17:49 |
17:54 |
18:01 |
|
17:52 |
|
|
|
| 863 |
Zach Flint |
10 |
18:14 |
18:46 |
18:35 |
18:29 |
18:16 |
|
18:16 |
18:06 |
17:59 |
|
18:09 |
|
|
|
| 949 |
Amory Spence |
11 |
18:22 |
|
18:43 |
19:06 |
18:16 |
|
18:18 |
18:19 |
18:06 |
|
18:19 |
|
|
|
| 961 |
Patton Lee |
12 |
18:23 |
18:22 |
|
18:27 |
18:21 |
|
|
18:21 |
18:29 |
|
18:17 |
|
|
|
| 975 |
Max Bontrager |
11 |
18:24 |
18:11 |
18:24 |
18:36 |
18:18 |
|
18:35 |
18:11 |
18:04 |
|
18:45 |
|
|
|
| 1,007 |
Noah Yoon |
11 |
18:26 |
18:25 |
17:57 |
20:59 |
18:28 |
|
|
18:24 |
18:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,116 |
Trevor Walton |
9 |
18:35 |
|
18:29 |
18:59 |
18:37 |
|
|
18:33 |
18:26 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,119 |
Andrew Huitsing |
11 |
18:35 |
|
18:27 |
18:48 |
18:42 |
|
|
18:32 |
18:47 |
18:11 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
| 1,204 |
Ishan Choudhary |
11 |
18:42 |
|
|
21:21 |
19:11 |
|
|
18:23 |
18:39 |
|
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,208 |
Fahed Badreddine |
9 |
18:43 |
|
18:59 |
|
18:40 |
|
|
18:30 |
18:45 |
20:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,214 |
Nick Diehl |
9 |
18:43 |
|
19:14 |
19:03 |
19:04 |
|
|
18:36 |
18:17 |
18:16 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
| 1,270 |
Grant Lawson |
11 |
18:48 |
18:20 |
20:17 |
19:50 |
18:54 |
|
|
18:40 |
18:28 |
18:21 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
| 1,291 |
Sebastian Balarezo |
10 |
18:50 |
18:42 |
18:51 |
19:01 |
18:47 |
|
|
18:44 |
18:35 |
19:03 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,296 |
Dominic Riego |
11 |
18:50 |
|
18:38 |
|
19:18 |
|
|
18:42 |
18:43 |
|
18:55 |
|
|
|
| 1,326 |
Quinn Brogan |
11 |
18:53 |
|
19:37 |
19:17 |
18:59 |
|
|
18:33 |
18:35 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,360 |
Lito Ledezma |
10 |
18:56 |
17:59 |
|
|
19:31 |
|
|
18:30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,368 |
Ryland Hill |
12 |
18:56 |
18:31 |
19:01 |
19:08 |
19:13 |
|
|
19:04 |
18:18 |
18:19 |
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
Gavin Tosh |
12 |
19:11 |
18:53 |
19:56 |
20:00 |
19:28 |
|
|
18:48 |
18:52 |
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ryan Finkbeiner |
11 |
19:17 |
|
19:19 |
19:41 |
19:40 |
|
|
19:13 |
19:10 |
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Norton |
9 |
19:51 |
|
21:40 |
20:33 |
20:14 |
|
|
20:56 |
19:19 |
18:50 |
19:45 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
1.3 |
107 |
79.7 |
13.0 |
4.1 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
40 |
93.8 |
5.4 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
27 |
95.9 |
4.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Provenzano |
100% |
3.3 |
10.5 |
15.5 |
18.1 |
18.5 |
13.0 |
7.2 |
5.7 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Grove |
100% |
8.6 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
5.6 |
9.1 |
10.0 |
8.6 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Thomas Biltimier |
100% |
27.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Capes |
100% |
56.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
|
99.0% |
| Kiefer Jay |
100% |
84.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
91.8% |
| Carter Buhr |
100% |
86.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
90.2% |
| Max Meisner |
100% |
99.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
85.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Provenzano |
100% |
1.4 |
26.0 |
58.8 |
9.6 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Grove |
100% |
3.0 |
0.5 |
7.8 |
43.2 |
18.3 |
13.7 |
7.5 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Thomas Biltimier |
100% |
8.0 |
|
|
0.5 |
5.5 |
7.7 |
10.4 |
12.6 |
13.2 |
11.9 |
9.6 |
7.1 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Capes |
100% |
15.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Kiefer Jay |
100% |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Carter Buhr |
100% |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Max Meisner |
100% |
26.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Provenzano |
1.0 |
86.2 |
9.0 |
4.0 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyle Grove |
1.8 |
4.7 |
58.7 |
17.0 |
16.8 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Biltimier |
4.6 |
|
0.2 |
13.5 |
13.5 |
38.0 |
18.8 |
9.5 |
3.7 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Capes |
7.5 |
|
|
0.3 |
1.6 |
3.7 |
15.1 |
19.9 |
17.8 |
13.6 |
10.4 |
7.9 |
5.3 |
3.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kiefer Jay |
11.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
5.2 |
8.6 |
11.2 |
10.8 |
12.2 |
13.7 |
13.8 |
9.2 |
7.0 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Carter Buhr |
10.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
5.0 |
7.7 |
10.9 |
12.1 |
13.7 |
12.8 |
11.9 |
9.6 |
7.6 |
4.0 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Max Meisner |
12.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
8.9 |
10.2 |
13.4 |
12.9 |
14.9 |
14.6 |
6.9 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
