All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
State Preview |
Ben Davis Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
283 | |
243 |
873 |
300 |
302 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
243 |
283 |
300 |
302 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
State Preview |
Ben Davis Invite |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
|---|
| 17 |
Mason Nobles |
11 |
15:53 |
15:53 |
15:45 |
|
16:01 |
16:02 |
| 49 |
Sam Sienkowski |
11 |
16:16 |
16:17 |
16:09 |
|
16:22 |
16:22 |
| 168 |
Otto Leake |
10 |
16:53 |
17:17 |
16:46 |
|
16:45 |
16:52 |
| 221 |
Brady Cavanaugh |
12 |
16:59 |
16:59 |
16:57 |
|
17:04 |
17:11 |
| 244 |
Thomas Krueger |
11 |
17:05 |
16:38 |
17:12 |
|
17:11 |
16:58 |
| 332 |
Owen Lashenik |
12 |
17:20 |
17:27 |
16:47 |
|
17:33 |
17:19 |
| 644 |
Mark Teeple |
12 |
17:57 |
|
17:47 |
17:59 |
18:03 |
17:40 |
| 706 |
Desmond Calhoun |
10 |
18:03 |
17:19 |
17:53 |
18:13 |
18:17 |
18:13 |
| 758 |
Sam Carpenter |
11 |
18:08 |
|
18:05 |
18:08 |
18:11 |
17:45 |
| 943 |
Trent Hoadley |
11 |
18:26 |
18:18 |
|
18:35 |
18:27 |
18:19 |
| 1,010 |
Jacob Kusbel |
11 |
18:33 |
18:47 |
18:35 |
18:09 |
18:37 |
18:19 |
| 1,132 |
Chase Henry |
11 |
18:44 |
18:44 |
|
18:38 |
18:48 |
18:42 |
| 1,215 |
Liam Zimmer |
9 |
18:50 |
|
18:39 |
18:43 |
19:03 |
19:37 |
| 1,278 |
Christian Pieters |
11 |
18:55 |
|
18:26 |
19:32 |
18:55 |
18:30 |
| 1,311 |
Owen Thomas |
10 |
18:59 |
|
|
18:32 |
19:17 |
19:25 |
|
Gabe Sterling |
12 |
19:05 |
|
|
19:05 |
19:06 |
18:54 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
98.0% |
14.0 |
356 |
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
7.8 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
7.4 |
5.5 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
132 |
18.1 |
25.9 |
26.4 |
18.8 |
8.8 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
29 |
97.9 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mason Nobles |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sam Sienkowski |
99.9% |
50.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
92.7% |
99.4% |
| Otto Leake |
98.0% |
156.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
22.7% |
| Brady Cavanaugh |
98.0% |
174.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
9.2% |
| Thomas Krueger |
98.0% |
186.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.1% |
| Owen Lashenik |
98.0% |
211.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Mark Teeple |
98.0% |
240.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mason Nobles |
100% |
3.9 |
4.0 |
13.7 |
17.0 |
17.1 |
15.3 |
12.8 |
9.5 |
5.4 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sam Sienkowski |
100% |
9.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
12.1 |
13.9 |
14.6 |
11.8 |
8.1 |
6.3 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Otto Leake |
100% |
36.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Brady Cavanaugh |
100% |
44.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Thomas Krueger |
100% |
50.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Lashenik |
100% |
67.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Mark Teeple |
100% |
108.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mason Nobles |
1.3 |
30.5 |
62.0 |
7.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Sienkowski |
3.0 |
|
3.1 |
47.9 |
45.2 |
3.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Otto Leake |
5.7 |
|
|
|
1.4 |
22.1 |
36.5 |
20.0 |
9.2 |
5.9 |
2.8 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brady Cavanaugh |
7.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
6.0 |
17.2 |
26.7 |
20.1 |
13.6 |
7.0 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas Krueger |
8.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
5.9 |
14.0 |
24.6 |
17.8 |
12.4 |
8.6 |
6.8 |
3.7 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Owen Lashenik |
12.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
1.4 |
7.5 |
11.6 |
11.4 |
12.6 |
12.8 |
10.3 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Mark Teeple |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
9.9 |
10.9 |
10.4 |
|
