All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
200 | |
282 |
171 |
161 |
629 |
206 |
185 |
696 |
211 |
247 |
210 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
187 |
171 |
161 |
200 |
206 |
185 |
200 |
211 |
210 |
210 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 11 |
Samuel Spees |
12 |
15:48 |
15:44 |
|
15:51 |
15:44 |
|
15:59 |
15:51 |
|
15:57 |
15:49 |
15:42 |
| 15 |
Jack Turnbull |
11 |
15:52 |
15:56 |
15:48 |
15:51 |
15:40 |
|
15:55 |
15:45 |
|
15:58 |
15:57 |
15:52 |
| 54 |
Evan Mayo |
12 |
16:18 |
15:56 |
16:19 |
16:10 |
16:20 |
|
16:16 |
16:13 |
|
16:21 |
|
16:20 |
| 149 |
Joe Spees |
12 |
16:45 |
17:16 |
|
16:31 |
16:25 |
|
16:36 |
16:46 |
|
16:45 |
16:55 |
17:00 |
| 199 |
Elijah Bineyard |
12 |
16:54 |
16:53 |
|
16:59 |
16:43 |
|
17:02 |
16:45 |
|
17:04 |
16:53 |
16:50 |
| 245 |
Elijah Weaver |
10 |
17:02 |
16:51 |
16:43 |
17:38 |
17:09 |
|
17:09 |
17:05 |
|
16:54 |
16:53 |
17:02 |
| 296 |
Dominick Dell |
12 |
17:13 |
17:01 |
17:00 |
16:47 |
17:02 |
|
17:08 |
17:07 |
|
17:42 |
17:22 |
17:17 |
| 393 |
Michael Schilson |
12 |
17:26 |
17:25 |
17:22 |
17:31 |
17:34 |
17:24 |
17:37 |
17:11 |
17:22 |
|
|
|
| 523 |
Owen Haan |
10 |
17:41 |
17:05 |
17:10 |
17:49 |
17:39 |
17:36 |
17:47 |
17:42 |
17:46 |
|
|
|
| 562 |
Noah Berg |
11 |
17:47 |
18:07 |
17:36 |
|
17:42 |
17:28 |
17:50 |
17:58 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
| 573 |
Jackson Meneely |
9 |
17:48 |
|
17:34 |
17:50 |
17:26 |
17:56 |
19:11 |
17:49 |
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 596 |
Jackson Nobbe |
10 |
17:50 |
17:29 |
17:21 |
17:45 |
18:22 |
17:35 |
18:00 |
17:49 |
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 676 |
Camden Stockwell |
11 |
17:57 |
17:38 |
17:54 |
17:37 |
17:54 |
18:01 |
18:01 |
18:00 |
17:58 |
|
|
|
| 730 |
John Bailey |
11 |
18:01 |
|
18:20 |
18:09 |
18:02 |
17:54 |
17:57 |
18:00 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
| 784 |
Nolan White |
11 |
18:07 |
17:18 |
18:54 |
18:32 |
18:04 |
18:05 |
18:02 |
17:53 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
| 786 |
Emerson Spillman |
9 |
18:07 |
|
18:02 |
18:03 |
18:25 |
17:57 |
18:06 |
17:56 |
18:16 |
|
|
|
| 823 |
Campbell Carlson |
12 |
18:10 |
|
17:59 |
18:02 |
18:11 |
|
18:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 858 |
Grant Gogis |
12 |
18:13 |
18:04 |
18:22 |
18:39 |
18:19 |
17:57 |
18:00 |
|
18:14 |
|
|
|
| 876 |
Paul Tucker |
9 |
18:15 |
|
18:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 921 |
Jackson Daniel |
9 |
18:20 |
|
18:08 |
18:25 |
18:28 |
18:16 |
18:24 |
18:02 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
| 950 |
Jack Mybeck |
11 |
18:22 |
18:11 |
18:25 |
18:26 |
|
18:12 |
18:24 |
18:31 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
| 992 |
Andrew Schonlau |
10 |
18:25 |
|
18:27 |
18:00 |
18:29 |
18:26 |
18:39 |
18:21 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
| 1,071 |
Ryan Lange |
10 |
18:31 |
18:31 |
|
18:31 |
18:27 |
18:29 |
18:30 |
18:30 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
| 1,105 |
Max Sproull |
10 |
18:34 |
|
18:24 |
18:25 |
18:27 |
18:32 |
18:43 |
18:39 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
| 1,109 |
Soren Johnson |
10 |
18:34 |
18:29 |
18:59 |
19:23 |
18:30 |
18:31 |
18:36 |
18:24 |
18:16 |
|
|
|
| 1,146 |
Nate Corcoran |
9 |
18:37 |
|
19:19 |
18:47 |
18:52 |
18:39 |
18:32 |
18:19 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
| 1,167 |
Joseph Janicek |
11 |
18:39 |
18:38 |
18:47 |
18:58 |
18:29 |
18:37 |
18:40 |
18:39 |
18:30 |
|
|
|
| 1,242 |
Carter Miller |
11 |
18:46 |
|
18:24 |
18:38 |
19:00 |
19:08 |
18:42 |
18:53 |
18:34 |
|
|
|
| 1,269 |
Gavin McGormley |
10 |
18:48 |
17:49 |
18:01 |
18:25 |
|
19:08 |
19:05 |
18:02 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
| 1,348 |
Sam Ostrander |
11 |
18:55 |
|
19:14 |
18:25 |
18:48 |
18:47 |
19:05 |
19:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,363 |
Brady Vergara |
9 |
18:56 |
|
18:23 |
18:45 |
18:35 |
|
19:14 |
19:43 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,367 |
Sam Longenberger |
9 |
18:56 |
|
19:13 |
18:27 |
18:43 |
19:01 |
|
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
William Weber |
10 |
19:00 |
|
19:08 |
19:01 |
18:42 |
19:58 |
18:51 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
Patrick Dimmett |
9 |
19:03 |
|
18:49 |
18:52 |
19:29 |
19:00 |
19:12 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
Evan Wiesler |
12 |
19:05 |
18:31 |
19:38 |
18:59 |
18:47 |
|
19:10 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jacob Jackson |
10 |
19:06 |
|
18:27 |
18:52 |
19:04 |
19:32 |
19:09 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hunter Striebel |
11 |
19:14 |
18:40 |
18:48 |
18:48 |
19:15 |
19:18 |
19:20 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Wesley Sim |
9 |
19:15 |
|
19:36 |
19:32 |
18:53 |
18:52 |
19:12 |
19:31 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
6.1 |
232 |
1.9 |
9.4 |
14.2 |
13.1 |
12.3 |
11.2 |
9.9 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.4 |
87 |
3.6 |
58.1 |
33.8 |
4.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
48 |
4.2 |
91.6 |
4.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
12.9 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
16.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
57.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
99.2% |
| Joe Spees |
100% |
139.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50.3% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
167.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.5% |
| Elijah Weaver |
100% |
186.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.2% |
| Dominick Dell |
100% |
203.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
4.4 |
0.7 |
5.4 |
15.1 |
20.6 |
19.2 |
13.6 |
10.7 |
6.2 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
5.3 |
0.3 |
3.1 |
8.4 |
14.9 |
18.6 |
17.3 |
12.9 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
15.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.5 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Joe Spees |
100% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Weaver |
100% |
47.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Dominick Dell |
100% |
60.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
2.7 |
6.3 |
19.2 |
36.2 |
24.9 |
9.3 |
2.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Turnbull |
3.3 |
2.8 |
12.0 |
25.1 |
34.8 |
15.1 |
6.4 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Evan Mayo |
7.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
8.0 |
15.7 |
16.8 |
12.6 |
11.1 |
9.8 |
8.0 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joe Spees |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
5.0 |
7.3 |
10.2 |
13.4 |
29.0 |
15.2 |
6.7 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Elijah Bineyard |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
5.9 |
12.5 |
25.8 |
18.8 |
11.6 |
8.9 |
5.0 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
| Elijah Weaver |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
9.9 |
19.0 |
17.1 |
14.2 |
12.7 |
9.0 |
6.3 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
| Dominick Dell |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
3.3 |
7.8 |
11.3 |
12.4 |
15.2 |
16.3 |
16.2 |
7.5 |
|
