All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
183 | |
285 |
172 |
161 |
644 |
200 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
177 |
172 |
161 |
183 |
200 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| 11 |
Samuel Spees |
12 |
15:48 |
15:44 |
|
15:50 |
15:42 |
|
15:57 |
| 12 |
Jack Turnbull |
11 |
15:48 |
15:56 |
15:47 |
15:50 |
15:38 |
|
15:53 |
| 45 |
Evan Mayo |
12 |
16:14 |
15:56 |
16:19 |
16:10 |
16:20 |
|
16:15 |
| 96 |
Joe Spees |
12 |
16:36 |
17:16 |
|
16:31 |
16:24 |
|
16:35 |
| 171 |
Elijah Bineyard |
12 |
16:53 |
16:53 |
|
17:00 |
16:43 |
|
17:02 |
| 227 |
Dominick Dell |
12 |
17:00 |
17:01 |
17:01 |
16:47 |
17:03 |
|
17:08 |
| 251 |
Elijah Weaver |
10 |
17:06 |
16:51 |
16:43 |
17:40 |
17:09 |
|
17:08 |
| 400 |
Michael Schilson |
12 |
17:30 |
17:25 |
17:23 |
17:32 |
17:36 |
17:25 |
17:37 |
| 447 |
Owen Haan |
10 |
17:36 |
17:05 |
17:12 |
17:51 |
17:40 |
17:38 |
17:47 |
| 513 |
Jackson Meneely |
9 |
17:42 |
|
17:35 |
17:52 |
17:27 |
17:59 |
19:13 |
| 531 |
Noah Berg |
11 |
17:45 |
18:07 |
17:38 |
|
17:43 |
17:30 |
17:50 |
| 544 |
Jackson Nobbe |
10 |
17:46 |
17:29 |
17:23 |
17:47 |
18:24 |
17:37 |
18:00 |
| 612 |
Camden Stockwell |
11 |
17:53 |
17:38 |
17:56 |
17:39 |
17:56 |
18:04 |
18:01 |
| 740 |
John Bailey |
11 |
18:06 |
|
18:22 |
18:11 |
18:04 |
17:56 |
17:57 |
| 770 |
Emerson Spillman |
9 |
18:09 |
|
18:05 |
18:04 |
18:28 |
18:00 |
18:06 |
| 788 |
Campbell Carlson |
12 |
18:11 |
|
18:02 |
18:03 |
18:13 |
|
18:22 |
| 803 |
Nolan White |
11 |
18:12 |
17:18 |
18:58 |
18:34 |
18:06 |
18:08 |
18:02 |
| 824 |
Grant Gogis |
12 |
18:14 |
18:04 |
18:25 |
18:41 |
18:21 |
18:00 |
18:00 |
| 849 |
Paul Tucker |
9 |
18:17 |
|
18:16 |
|
|
|
|
| 891 |
Jack Mybeck |
11 |
18:22 |
18:11 |
18:27 |
18:28 |
|
18:15 |
18:25 |
| 913 |
Jackson Daniel |
9 |
18:23 |
|
18:10 |
18:27 |
18:31 |
18:19 |
18:25 |
| 971 |
Andrew Schonlau |
10 |
18:29 |
|
18:30 |
18:02 |
18:32 |
18:29 |
18:40 |
| 989 |
Ryan Lange |
10 |
18:31 |
18:31 |
|
18:33 |
18:29 |
18:32 |
18:31 |
| 1,011 |
Max Sproull |
10 |
18:33 |
|
18:27 |
18:26 |
18:30 |
18:35 |
18:44 |
| 1,019 |
Gavin McGormley |
10 |
18:34 |
17:49 |
18:03 |
18:27 |
|
19:13 |
19:07 |
| 1,117 |
Joseph Janicek |
11 |
18:43 |
18:38 |
18:50 |
19:00 |
18:31 |
18:40 |
18:41 |
| 1,128 |
Soren Johnson |
10 |
18:43 |
18:29 |
19:03 |
19:26 |
18:32 |
18:34 |
18:37 |
| 1,153 |
Brady Vergara |
9 |
18:45 |
|
18:25 |
18:47 |
18:38 |
|
19:16 |
| 1,207 |
Carter Miller |
11 |
18:49 |
|
18:27 |
18:40 |
19:03 |
19:12 |
18:43 |
| 1,233 |
Nate Corcoran |
9 |
18:51 |
|
19:24 |
18:49 |
18:55 |
18:43 |
18:33 |
| 1,271 |
Sam Longenberger |
9 |
18:54 |
|
19:17 |
18:29 |
18:46 |
19:05 |
|
| 1,284 |
Sam Ostrander |
11 |
18:55 |
|
19:18 |
18:27 |
18:51 |
18:51 |
19:06 |
|
Evan Wiesler |
12 |
19:03 |
18:31 |
19:43 |
19:02 |
18:50 |
|
19:11 |
|
Jacob Jackson |
10 |
19:04 |
|
18:30 |
18:54 |
19:07 |
19:37 |
19:10 |
|
William Weber |
10 |
19:05 |
|
19:12 |
19:04 |
18:45 |
20:03 |
18:52 |
|
Hunter Striebel |
11 |
19:06 |
18:40 |
18:52 |
18:51 |
19:18 |
19:23 |
19:22 |
|
Patrick Dimmett |
9 |
19:07 |
|
18:52 |
18:55 |
19:33 |
19:04 |
19:14 |
|
Wesley Sim |
9 |
19:16 |
|
19:41 |
19:36 |
18:56 |
18:56 |
19:14 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.4 |
207 |
5.3 |
20.6 |
22.6 |
15.2 |
11.4 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.1 |
81 |
8.4 |
71.4 |
19.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
44 |
7.9 |
91.6 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
13.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.1 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
13.9 |
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
47.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
99.7% |
| Joe Spees |
100% |
99.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
81.1% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
158.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.5% |
| Dominick Dell |
100% |
176.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.0% |
| Elijah Weaver |
100% |
189.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
4.0 |
0.3 |
2.7 |
19.5 |
27.3 |
19.9 |
13.5 |
6.0 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
4.2 |
0.3 |
3.0 |
17.5 |
25.1 |
20.9 |
13.5 |
7.2 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
13.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
1.1 |
3.6 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Joe Spees |
100% |
27.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
39.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Dominick Dell |
100% |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Weaver |
100% |
52.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
2.7 |
2.0 |
25.7 |
34.3 |
25.9 |
8.8 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Turnbull |
2.8 |
1.7 |
22.0 |
33.9 |
26.9 |
10.9 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Evan Mayo |
6.6 |
|
|
0.2 |
2.5 |
15.3 |
20.7 |
18.4 |
13.9 |
8.7 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joe Spees |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
4.1 |
6.3 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
10.5 |
12.6 |
14.7 |
15.6 |
10.7 |
4.5 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Elijah Bineyard |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
7.1 |
16.7 |
17.6 |
16.5 |
14.1 |
8.4 |
5.3 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
| Dominick Dell |
19.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.8 |
5.9 |
10.6 |
13.1 |
15.7 |
14.8 |
14.7 |
9.8 |
6.6 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
| Elijah Weaver |
20.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
4.5 |
8.2 |
10.6 |
14.3 |
15.5 |
16.8 |
15.1 |
5.6 |
4.0 |
|
