All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg Invitational (4k) |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
| Team Rating |
228 | |
202 |
188 |
226 |
446 |
201 |
276 |
504 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
202 |
188 |
226 |
228 |
201 |
276 |
228 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg Invitational (4k) |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
|---|
| 17 |
Brandon Haas |
12 |
15:54 |
15:56 |
15:54 |
15:57 |
15:52 |
|
15:52 |
15:57 |
|
| 29 |
Elijah Balbach |
12 |
16:02 |
15:58 |
16:09 |
15:59 |
15:56 |
|
15:56 |
16:22 |
|
| 138 |
Josiah Aynes |
11 |
16:43 |
16:41 |
16:32 |
16:42 |
16:47 |
|
16:47 |
16:46 |
|
| 148 |
Wes Grant |
10 |
16:46 |
16:51 |
16:36 |
16:30 |
16:53 |
|
16:42 |
17:05 |
|
| 152 |
Ashton Hultman |
10 |
16:47 |
17:54 |
16:40 |
16:38 |
16:43 |
|
16:39 |
17:05 |
|
| 163 |
Charlie Rosa |
12 |
16:49 |
17:09 |
16:40 |
16:45 |
16:52 |
|
16:34 |
17:07 |
|
| 204 |
Marshall Stout |
9 |
16:56 |
|
16:59 |
16:52 |
17:11 |
16:53 |
16:53 |
16:51 |
|
| 246 |
Joshua Nugent |
12 |
17:06 |
16:54 |
|
16:47 |
16:49 |
17:13 |
17:09 |
17:56 |
17:06 |
| 263 |
Cooper Jaynes |
9 |
17:10 |
|
16:35 |
16:29 |
17:19 |
|
17:29 |
17:26 |
17:14 |
| 264 |
Bennett Peelle |
11 |
17:10 |
|
16:58 |
17:24 |
|
16:50 |
17:03 |
17:19 |
17:29 |
| 320 |
Tim McCluskey |
10 |
17:17 |
18:19 |
16:49 |
17:13 |
17:14 |
17:19 |
17:21 |
17:08 |
17:43 |
| 321 |
Thad Irvine |
9 |
17:17 |
|
16:54 |
17:13 |
17:13 |
17:20 |
|
17:20 |
17:46 |
| 368 |
Raul Maturana |
11 |
17:24 |
17:50 |
17:18 |
17:06 |
17:27 |
17:26 |
17:38 |
17:24 |
17:19 |
| 376 |
Patrick McCluskey |
12 |
17:25 |
17:12 |
17:10 |
17:14 |
|
17:51 |
17:27 |
17:39 |
17:23 |
| 388 |
Hunter Sardinas |
12 |
17:27 |
17:21 |
17:21 |
17:23 |
|
17:32 |
17:28 |
17:21 |
17:40 |
| 430 |
Kase Blickenstaff |
11 |
17:32 |
18:18 |
17:35 |
17:32 |
|
17:28 |
17:33 |
17:07 |
17:35 |
| 441 |
Eli Cronin |
11 |
17:33 |
17:43 |
17:24 |
17:32 |
|
17:43 |
17:36 |
17:34 |
17:20 |
| 455 |
Sammy Trippeer |
11 |
17:35 |
18:05 |
17:09 |
17:26 |
|
17:24 |
18:13 |
17:34 |
17:47 |
| 482 |
Lucas Varner |
9 |
17:39 |
|
17:47 |
17:42 |
|
17:29 |
17:42 |
17:35 |
17:35 |
| 496 |
Jackson Hoaglin |
11 |
17:40 |
17:38 |
17:33 |
18:08 |
|
17:25 |
17:41 |
17:38 |
17:43 |
| 512 |
Jeremiah Parker |
12 |
17:42 |
|
18:06 |
17:33 |
|
18:27 |
17:21 |
17:43 |
17:32 |
| 550 |
Jayden Vazquez |
10 |
17:47 |
19:05 |
17:20 |
18:09 |
|
|
17:42 |
17:52 |
17:36 |
| 601 |
Rylan Bruna |
10 |
17:52 |
|
|
18:27 |
|
17:34 |
17:45 |
17:52 |
|
| 643 |
Caleb Hurt |
11 |
17:56 |
18:14 |
17:50 |
17:40 |
|
17:44 |
18:04 |
17:58 |
18:05 |
| 758 |
Evan Crane |
9 |
18:07 |
|
17:14 |
17:57 |
|
|
18:24 |
18:43 |
18:07 |
| 790 |
Owen Monroe |
11 |
18:09 |
|
18:29 |
18:11 |
|
|
17:56 |
|
|
| 823 |
Colter Tedford |
9 |
18:12 |
|
17:52 |
18:10 |
|
18:14 |
18:10 |
18:18 |
18:23 |
| 964 |
Kasen Showalter |
9 |
18:26 |
|
18:37 |
18:25 |
|
18:04 |
18:19 |
18:31 |
18:36 |
| 1,252 |
Camilo Rajankanth Mascranca |
11 |
18:49 |
|
18:49 |
18:55 |
|
|
18:40 |
18:50 |
18:52 |
| 1,279 |
Noah Harvey |
11 |
18:52 |
18:38 |
19:25 |
18:46 |
|
18:34 |
18:51 |
18:38 |
19:30 |
| 1,355 |
Owen Stull |
9 |
18:58 |
|
18:43 |
18:38 |
|
19:03 |
19:27 |
19:01 |
19:00 |
|
Abel Davidson |
10 |
19:01 |
|
18:56 |
18:57 |
|
18:55 |
18:53 |
19:04 |
19:26 |
|
Keaton Carnes |
11 |
19:06 |
18:43 |
18:54 |
18:52 |
|
18:07 |
19:39 |
19:31 |
19:49 |
|
Montgomery Fenol |
10 |
19:12 |
18:47 |
20:00 |
19:16 |
|
18:44 |
19:24 |
18:59 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
98.6% |
8.8 |
274 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
5.3 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
10.9 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
9.9 |
8.3 |
6.8 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.9 |
104 |
9.3 |
28.7 |
37.4 |
18.5 |
4.7 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.7 |
49 |
36.1 |
60.3 |
3.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
20.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Elijah Balbach |
100.0% |
29.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
98.6% |
100.0% |
| Josiah Aynes |
98.6% |
131.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
64.2% |
| Wes Grant |
98.6% |
143.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
53.2% |
| Ashton Hultman |
98.6% |
144.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
52.2% |
| Charlie Rosa |
98.6% |
149.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
44.3% |
| Marshall Stout |
98.6% |
172.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
21.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
2.7 |
14.3 |
22.9 |
19.0 |
13.4 |
9.4 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Balbach |
100% |
5.0 |
2.0 |
7.1 |
12.4 |
14.7 |
13.2 |
10.6 |
9.2 |
7.1 |
5.7 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Josiah Aynes |
100% |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ashton Hultman |
100% |
35.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Rosa |
100% |
37.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Marshall Stout |
100% |
47.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Brandon Haas |
1.8 |
18.4 |
41.7 |
20.6 |
11.5 |
4.4 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elijah Balbach |
3.1 |
3.7 |
13.7 |
31.1 |
21.6 |
15.3 |
8.4 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josiah Aynes |
13.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.1 |
7.3 |
6.7 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
| Wes Grant |
15.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.6 |
9.6 |
9.8 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
| Ashton Hultman |
15.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
7.0 |
8.1 |
9.0 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
9.0 |
7.9 |
6.0 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
| Charlie Rosa |
16.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
9.3 |
10.3 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
6.1 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
| Marshall Stout |
19.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
9.9 |
12.2 |
11.8 |
11.3 |
9.3 |
6.1 |
3.3 |
|
