All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Taylor Unversity Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
Team Rating |
337 | |
348 |
292 |
323 |
309 |
636 |
342 |
358 |
649 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
348 |
292 |
323 |
309 |
337 |
342 |
347 |
337 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Taylor Unversity Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
125 |
Elijah Weaver |
12 |
16:40 |
|
16:54 |
16:23 |
16:42 |
16:34 |
|
16:31 |
17:06 |
|
147 |
Jack Albright |
10 |
16:46 |
17:44 |
16:36 |
16:32 |
16:42 |
16:44 |
|
16:56 |
16:51 |
|
160 |
Soren Johnson |
12 |
16:48 |
16:56 |
16:34 |
16:35 |
16:46 |
16:32 |
|
17:19 |
17:04 |
|
192 |
Nate Corcoran |
11 |
16:53 |
17:28 |
16:52 |
16:50 |
16:53 |
16:49 |
|
16:55 |
16:45 |
|
206 |
Jackson Meneely |
11 |
16:57 |
16:53 |
17:18 |
16:59 |
16:47 |
17:04 |
|
16:50 |
|
|
223 |
Andrew Schonlau |
12 |
17:02 |
17:20 |
|
17:15 |
17:15 |
16:57 |
|
16:57 |
16:34 |
|
299 |
Owen Haan |
12 |
17:15 |
16:59 |
17:22 |
17:12 |
17:15 |
17:17 |
|
17:06 |
17:26 |
|
397 |
Isaac Lindsay |
9 |
17:28 |
|
17:28 |
17:35 |
17:27 |
17:23 |
17:30 |
17:22 |
17:31 |
17:25 |
442 |
Jackson Daniel |
11 |
17:33 |
17:37 |
17:17 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
|
18:11 |
18:42 |
465 |
Ben Beardsley |
10 |
17:36 |
18:08 |
17:14 |
17:27 |
17:34 |
17:26 |
17:42 |
17:50 |
17:48 |
|
486 |
Max Sproull |
12 |
17:39 |
18:08 |
17:45 |
17:30 |
|
17:22 |
17:45 |
17:41 |
17:35 |
17:42 |
561 |
Jensen Storch |
12 |
17:48 |
|
18:20 |
17:48 |
17:54 |
18:05 |
17:40 |
17:44 |
17:32 |
17:35 |
634 |
Nathan Davison |
11 |
17:55 |
18:37 |
19:10 |
18:05 |
18:38 |
18:16 |
17:25 |
17:27 |
17:26 |
17:27 |
710 |
Sully Spillman |
9 |
18:03 |
|
17:45 |
18:18 |
17:53 |
17:54 |
18:10 |
18:01 |
18:11 |
18:13 |
791 |
Collin Wood |
11 |
18:09 |
18:57 |
18:15 |
18:09 |
18:22 |
18:33 |
18:05 |
17:57 |
17:38 |
18:02 |
827 |
Sam Longenberger |
11 |
18:13 |
18:48 |
18:34 |
18:02 |
18:15 |
18:00 |
18:26 |
18:16 |
17:48 |
18:06 |
841 |
Jackson Hendershot |
11 |
18:13 |
18:00 |
18:11 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
883 |
James Palmer |
11 |
18:18 |
19:11 |
|
18:21 |
18:57 |
18:30 |
17:53 |
18:10 |
17:47 |
|
894 |
Emerson Spillman |
11 |
18:19 |
18:00 |
17:57 |
18:45 |
18:32 |
18:17 |
18:06 |
18:30 |
18:13 |
18:22 |
897 |
Patrick Dimmett |
11 |
18:19 |
18:27 |
17:56 |
18:32 |
18:46 |
18:19 |
18:25 |
18:15 |
18:09 |
18:10 |
899 |
Ryan Demattos |
9 |
18:20 |
|
17:56 |
|
18:21 |
18:22 |
18:30 |
18:28 |
18:19 |
18:16 |
903 |
Jacob Jackson |
12 |
18:21 |
18:41 |
18:13 |
18:10 |
18:23 |
18:17 |
18:23 |
18:31 |
18:23 |
18:12 |
1,007 |
Henry Miller |
10 |
18:29 |
|
18:04 |
18:41 |
17:55 |
18:26 |
18:14 |
18:43 |
19:06 |
18:41 |
1,096 |
William Weber |
12 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18:37 |
|
|
1,134 |
Jacob Lock |
10 |
18:40 |
18:43 |
18:35 |
19:04 |
19:09 |
18:25 |
18:22 |
18:45 |
18:54 |
18:13 |
1,137 |
Paul Tucker |
11 |
18:40 |
17:20 |
18:56 |
18:29 |
18:49 |
18:37 |
19:29 |
18:33 |
18:44 |
18:18 |
1,289 |
Brady Vergara |
11 |
18:53 |
19:24 |
18:49 |
19:00 |
18:48 |
18:45 |
19:04 |
19:02 |
18:23 |
|
1,376 |
Ben Bruggers |
11 |
19:00 |
|
18:57 |
18:51 |
18:55 |
19:25 |
18:32 |
19:02 |
18:58 |
19:14 |
|
Finn Bull |
11 |
19:07 |
|
19:05 |
|
|
|
19:12 |
19:05 |
19:18 |
18:55 |
|
Harrison Prifogle |
10 |
19:08 |
|
19:14 |
19:05 |
19:14 |
18:51 |
18:51 |
19:20 |
19:15 |
|
|
Liam Costales |
10 |
19:14 |
|
19:25 |
19:22 |
19:27 |
19:02 |
19:15 |
19:26 |
18:29 |
|
|
James Glier |
11 |
19:38 |
19:17 |
20:21 |
19:08 |
|
20:14 |
20:00 |
19:35 |
19:14 |
19:27 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
53.6% |
15.0 |
397 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Regionals |
100% |
5.5 |
183 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
5.8 |
17.2 |
28.8 |
27.1 |
10.7 |
4.3 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
64 |
1.0 |
25.2 |
73.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elijah Weaver |
79.5% |
117.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55.8% |
74.3% |
Jack Albright |
67.3% |
131.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29.4% |
53.0% |
Soren Johnson |
63.9% |
136.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
22.1% |
46.1% |
Nate Corcoran |
57.3% |
150.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
28.4% |
Jackson Meneely |
55.0% |
164.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.8% |
16.6% |
Andrew Schonlau |
53.9% |
174.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
8.6% |
Owen Haan |
53.6% |
201.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.7% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elijah Weaver |
100% |
28.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
Jack Albright |
100% |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
Soren Johnson |
100% |
37.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
Nate Corcoran |
100% |
43.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
Jackson Meneely |
100% |
49.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
Andrew Schonlau |
100% |
55.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Owen Haan |
100% |
70.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elijah Weaver |
8.7 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
5.8 |
9.9 |
17.0 |
13.6 |
11.3 |
9.4 |
7.8 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Jack Albright |
10.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
8.6 |
10.4 |
11.6 |
10.9 |
10.4 |
8.3 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Soren Johnson |
11.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
6.2 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
9.3 |
8.6 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
Nate Corcoran |
14.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
8.7 |
9.6 |
10.0 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
6.9 |
6.5 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Jackson Meneely |
16.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
10.1 |
9.9 |
9.4 |
6.8 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
Andrew Schonlau |
18.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
7.1 |
8.3 |
8.5 |
10.8 |
11.7 |
11.5 |
11.7 |
8.2 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
0.6 |
Owen Haan |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
8.6 |
11.3 |
17.4 |
19.7 |
15.3 |
7.9 |
|