All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
St. X Tiger Run |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/17 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
| Team Rating |
403 | |
322 |
422 |
405 |
389 |
433 |
447 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
322 |
422 |
405 |
389 |
383 |
447 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
St. X Tiger Run |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Eagle Classic |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
|---|
| 89 |
Luke Baylor |
10 |
16:31 |
16:24 |
16:03 |
16:48 |
16:16 |
16:26 |
16:34 |
16:56 |
| 151 |
Gannon Mays |
10 |
16:47 |
|
16:26 |
16:49 |
16:47 |
16:48 |
16:51 |
16:52 |
| 236 |
Hunter Schultheis |
10 |
17:04 |
17:31 |
17:19 |
17:08 |
16:56 |
17:04 |
16:44 |
16:59 |
| 258 |
Hudson Everett |
9 |
17:08 |
|
16:31 |
16:52 |
17:32 |
17:07 |
|
17:31 |
| 398 |
Liam Borchers |
11 |
17:28 |
17:54 |
17:18 |
17:37 |
17:31 |
17:21 |
17:23 |
17:19 |
| 518 |
Caleb Hartlage |
9 |
17:43 |
|
17:37 |
17:49 |
17:24 |
17:38 |
|
18:01 |
| 614 |
Miles Elrod |
12 |
17:54 |
17:46 |
|
18:20 |
18:03 |
17:41 |
17:45 |
17:46 |
| 999 |
Mark Brown |
12 |
18:29 |
19:02 |
19:45 |
|
18:30 |
18:05 |
18:29 |
18:33 |
| 1,051 |
Caisen Gomes |
10 |
18:33 |
|
18:35 |
|
18:35 |
18:21 |
18:38 |
19:49 |
| 1,250 |
Trey Pinter |
10 |
18:49 |
18:48 |
18:33 |
|
18:40 |
19:25 |
18:52 |
|
| 1,349 |
Elias Roman |
10 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
19:02 |
18:53 |
18:50 |
19:00 |
|
Jordan Hartlage |
12 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
19:00 |
18:56 |
18:59 |
19:10 |
|
Micah Polston |
10 |
19:04 |
|
19:44 |
|
18:53 |
19:00 |
18:44 |
19:08 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
92.4% |
21.5 |
522 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.8 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
10.9 |
11.9 |
14.1 |
17.0 |
| Regionals |
100% |
3.8 |
179 |
|
|
49.3 |
32.2 |
10.9 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
39 |
85.2 |
14.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Baylor |
98.4% |
91.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
79.2% |
96.4% |
| Gannon Mays |
93.4% |
144.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.4% |
63.5% |
| Hunter Schultheis |
92.4% |
189.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
13.1% |
| Hudson Everett |
92.4% |
196.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.5% |
| Liam Borchers |
92.4% |
221.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Caleb Hartlage |
92.4% |
231.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Miles Elrod |
92.4% |
235.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Baylor |
100% |
20.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
4.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Gannon Mays |
100% |
30.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Hunter Schultheis |
100% |
42.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Hudson Everett |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Liam Borchers |
100% |
63.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Hartlage |
100% |
79.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Miles Elrod |
100% |
92.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Luke Baylor |
3.5 |
9.3 |
12.8 |
17.5 |
21.2 |
34.5 |
4.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gannon Mays |
5.5 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
5.2 |
12.5 |
57.5 |
16.6 |
4.1 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hunter Schultheis |
7.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.9 |
26.7 |
30.1 |
21.1 |
11.6 |
6.1 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hudson Everett |
8.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.3 |
12.4 |
24.8 |
27.1 |
19.8 |
10.8 |
3.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Liam Borchers |
11.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
2.5 |
9.8 |
19.9 |
34.8 |
22.6 |
6.3 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Caleb Hartlage |
13.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
5.8 |
20.1 |
28.2 |
17.1 |
10.9 |
6.4 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
| Miles Elrod |
16.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
10.5 |
19.4 |
16.3 |
13.0 |
9.0 |
7.5 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
|
