Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #44
New Prairie Regional Rank #8
Highland Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference
Date 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/20 9/27 10/4
Team Rating 539 506 613 542 589 748 554
Team Adjusted Rating 506 613 542 546 557 554
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference
26  Ben Perschon 12 16:00 15:59 15:45 16:04 15:56 16:05 16:13
97  Lucca Neves 12 16:34 16:52 17:59 16:52 16:32 16:27 16:18
565  Ethan Gonzales 12 17:48 17:41 17:47 17:43 17:58 18:03 17:37 17:49
700  Trevor MacFarlane 9 18:02 18:27 18:01 17:50 17:50 18:05 18:03
726  Eli Tyrpin 12 18:04 18:27 17:47 17:43 17:56 18:40 18:15
907  Vincenzo Pomilia 9 18:21 17:48 18:30 18:37
1,196  Patrick Grady 10 18:45 18:52 18:56 18:46 18:38 18:37 18:31
1,304  Luka Manojlovic 11 18:54 19:07 19:00 18:46 18:36 18:42 19:16
John Skehan 9 19:22 19:52 19:24 19:30 19:11 19:04 19:10
Roman Kaszowicz 9 19:41 20:11 19:42 19:46 19:39 18:59 19:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.9% 20.9 505 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 9.3 267 0.1 0.8 4.1 11.6 20.2 21.5 16.7 12.5 6.5 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.1 75 0.0 2.7 85.2 11.7 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Perschon 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.6 3.1 2.4 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.6 3.4 2.8 100.0% 100.0%
Lucca Neves 93.4% 99.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.3% 93.4%
Ethan Gonzales 0.9% 223.6 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor MacFarlane 0.9% 231.2 0.0% 0.0%
Eli Tyrpin 0.9% 233.1 0.0% 0.0%
Vincenzo Pomilia 0.9% 237.1 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Grady 0.9% 241.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Perschon 100% 2.6 0.0 28.8 37.2 14.7 8.0 4.3 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lucca Neves 100% 15.9 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.6 3.2 3.4 4.4 4.3 4.9 5.3 4.8 4.7 5.1 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.1 3.3 2.8 100.0%
Ethan Gonzales 100% 88.3 100.0%
Trevor MacFarlane 100% 107.0 100.0%
Eli Tyrpin 100% 110.2 100.0%
Vincenzo Pomilia 100% 136.9 100.0%
Patrick Grady 100% 178.1 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Perschon 1.0 94.1 4.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Lucca Neves 3.5 0.0 21.4 20.3 16.2 13.2 11.4 7.3 5.1 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Ethan Gonzales 20.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.2 5.7 8.2 11.8 15.3 18.1 13.2 8.7 4.7 2.9
Trevor MacFarlane 23.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.9 3.9 7.4 11.2 14.3 13.4 11.7
Eli Tyrpin 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.6 5.7 10.2 12.3 12.9 12.6
Vincenzo Pomilia 29.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.1
Patrick Grady 38.8 0.0