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State Rank #100
New Prairie Regional Rank #22
Chesterton Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference
Date 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20 9/27 10/4
Team Rating 882 965 1,061 1,016 910 909 870 855
Team Adjusted Rating 870 888 913 910 909 870 855
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference
220  Ethan Walsh 12 17:01 17:23 17:01 17:00 16:57 17:08 16:59 16:58 16:52
652  Weston Stilwell 12 17:57 16:47 21:03 18:23 18:03 17:42
917  Jacob Lagunas 11 18:22 18:45 18:00 18:56 18:09 18:44 18:07 18:17
1,270  Hayden Harding 9 18:51 18:51 18:49 18:48 18:38 21:11 18:46 19:15
1,311  Dravon Patterson 9 18:55 19:08 19:14 18:50 18:37 18:22 19:02 18:58
Carson Purser 10 19:18 19:52 19:07 19:03 19:15 18:54 20:11 19:13 19:40
Bryce Snyder 12 19:19 19:14 19:15 19:15 20:11 18:58 19:34 19:05
Cadin Daniels 10 19:31 20:04 20:14 19:34 19:15 19:13 18:54
Cooper Barnes 9 20:05 20:27 20:30 19:47 20:00 20:27 20:04 19:09
Cooper Wilkins 12 20:19 18:53 20:43 20:12 20:16 20:12 20:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 19.8 498 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.5 3.3 10.8 79.4 3.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.0 110 100.0 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Walsh 18.3% 159.6 18.3% 18.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Walsh 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.8 100.0%
Weston Stilwell 100% 99.3 100.0%
Jacob Lagunas 100% 137.8 100.0%
Hayden Harding 100% 186.4 100.0%
Dravon Patterson 100% 190.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Walsh 3.5 0.3 3.8 20.6 48.0 12.8 6.3 3.8 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Weston Stilwell 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.2 7.3 8.0 9.9 11.0 11.0 10.2 9.1 8.8 6.0 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.7
Jacob Lagunas 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.0 4.0 6.2 9.2 10.9 12.8 12.6
Hayden Harding 31.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6
Dravon Patterson 32.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4