All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Rumble in the Jungle |
Salem Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Crawford County Invitational |
Dragon Den Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
XC Town Twilight |
Crawford County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/20 |
9/23 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
11/1 |
| Team Rating |
808 | |
780 |
752 |
786 |
938 |
|
836 |
891 |
789 |
933 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
780 |
752 |
786 |
938 |
1,295 |
798 |
801 |
789 |
862 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Rumble in the Jungle |
Salem Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Crawford County Invitational |
Dragon Den Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
XC Town Twilight |
Crawford County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 70 |
Connor Zwissler |
12 |
16:19 |
|
16:52 |
16:45 |
16:04 |
17:06 |
|
16:26 |
16:19 |
16:14 |
16:11 |
16:35 |
| 904 |
Nolan Huyhn |
11 |
18:14 |
19:38 |
18:19 |
18:19 |
18:16 |
18:48 |
19:54 |
18:13 |
18:01 |
18:03 |
18:10 |
|
| 937 |
Landon Ferree |
10 |
18:17 |
18:33 |
17:58 |
17:47 |
18:15 |
18:15 |
19:59 |
18:21 |
18:27 |
17:59 |
19:06 |
|
| 1,125 |
Lucas Hamm |
10 |
18:32 |
19:44 |
18:27 |
18:20 |
18:41 |
18:38 |
19:54 |
18:16 |
18:28 |
18:38 |
18:34 |
|
| 1,204 |
Evan Gilmore-Groan |
10 |
18:38 |
19:03 |
18:11 |
18:14 |
18:24 |
19:01 |
20:00 |
|
|
18:51 |
|
|
|
Luke Bettler |
10 |
19:31 |
20:31 |
19:55 |
19:20 |
19:19 |
19:20 |
20:10 |
19:07 |
19:46 |
19:25 |
19:32 |
|
|
Reid Wigginton |
10 |
20:07 |
|
19:16 |
19:24 |
19:40 |
19:39 |
20:37 |
21:03 |
20:04 |
20:18 |
20:26 |
|
|
Isaac Rice |
11 |
20:15 |
19:48 |
19:24 |
19:44 |
20:03 |
20:21 |
20:53 |
20:01 |
|
|
20:52 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
99.1% |
17.9 |
447 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
5.0 |
7.4 |
11.3 |
18.1 |
37.5 |
9.4 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.9 |
117 |
|
|
16.1 |
80.7 |
2.4 |
0.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Connor Zwissler |
99.4% |
66.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Connor Zwissler |
100% |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
6.4 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
6.2 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Nolan Huyhn |
100% |
125.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Landon Ferree |
100% |
129.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Lucas Hamm |
100% |
152.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.9% |
| Evan Gilmore-Groan |
100% |
161.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.8% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Connor Zwissler |
2.1 |
|
48.6 |
25.8 |
12.3 |
7.5 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nolan Huyhn |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
10.4 |
| Landon Ferree |
26.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
| Lucas Hamm |
30.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
| Evan Gilmore-Groan |
31.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
