All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
313 | |
289 |
317 |
369 |
342 |
|
868 |
371 |
319 |
320 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
256 |
317 |
369 |
342 |
313 |
313 |
371 |
319 |
320 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brownsburg JV Last Run |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 56 |
Scout Newman |
10 |
19:25 |
19:43 |
18:36 |
19:02 |
19:46 |
19:30 |
|
|
19:23 |
19:17 |
19:31 |
| 122 |
Lucy Tolliver |
10 |
19:52 |
19:36 |
19:45 |
19:59 |
20:46 |
20:20 |
|
|
19:54 |
19:42 |
19:57 |
| 143 |
MacKenzie Steele |
11 |
20:01 |
20:24 |
19:44 |
19:54 |
19:42 |
20:01 |
|
|
20:34 |
19:52 |
20:05 |
| 172 |
Hannah Oppy |
12 |
20:11 |
20:40 |
|
20:52 |
20:46 |
20:30 |
|
|
21:05 |
20:36 |
20:02 |
| 262 |
Mackenzie Williams |
12 |
20:41 |
21:25 |
20:23 |
20:40 |
20:21 |
20:36 |
|
|
20:57 |
20:48 |
20:44 |
| 337 |
Savannah Dyer |
9 |
20:57 |
|
21:04 |
20:36 |
21:29 |
21:23 |
|
|
20:36 |
20:46 |
20:53 |
| 490 |
Elise Cougill |
12 |
21:31 |
20:47 |
20:51 |
21:50 |
20:55 |
|
|
|
|
22:12 |
|
| 646 |
Mary McCluskey |
12 |
21:55 |
22:05 |
21:46 |
22:38 |
22:04 |
21:29 |
|
|
21:32 |
|
23:11 |
| 831 |
Abigail Altschul |
9 |
22:19 |
|
23:03 |
22:20 |
22:24 |
22:07 |
|
21:45 |
|
|
|
| 862 |
Sofia Bragg |
10 |
22:25 |
21:09 |
22:46 |
22:13 |
22:08 |
22:34 |
|
22:17 |
|
|
|
| 909 |
Charlotte Robison |
9 |
22:32 |
|
23:11 |
22:27 |
22:33 |
22:18 |
|
22:14 |
|
|
|
| 963 |
Skyler Dickenson |
12 |
22:40 |
|
22:13 |
21:53 |
|
22:50 |
|
23:18 |
|
|
|
| 990 |
Sophia Lone |
10 |
22:42 |
|
23:45 |
23:02 |
22:57 |
21:57 |
|
21:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,063 |
Ella Schott |
9 |
22:52 |
|
|
|
23:06 |
22:57 |
22:48 |
22:14 |
|
|
|
| 1,249 |
Kennedy York |
10 |
23:19 |
20:43 |
23:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gigi Miller |
9 |
23:51 |
|
23:33 |
|
23:38 |
23:40 |
23:49 |
25:00 |
|
|
|
|
Renee Walmoth |
12 |
23:59 |
23:58 |
21:52 |
|
23:21 |
24:07 |
24:37 |
24:24 |
|
|
|
|
Savannah Walters |
9 |
24:01 |
|
|
23:38 |
25:25 |
23:53 |
24:18 |
23:52 |
|
|
|
|
Carly Boone |
11 |
24:15 |
|
25:04 |
23:36 |
24:30 |
|
24:25 |
23:17 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
15.1 |
383 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.9 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
10.4 |
10.2 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
4.1 |
2.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.1 |
157 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
27.1 |
41.5 |
18.7 |
8.0 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
38 |
93.7 |
5.6 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Scout Newman |
100% |
60.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
|
98.9% |
| Lucy Tolliver |
100% |
116.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
77.9% |
| MacKenzie Steele |
100% |
135.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.0% |
| Hannah Oppy |
100% |
153.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.0% |
| Mackenzie Williams |
100% |
195.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.5% |
| Savannah Dyer |
100% |
212.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Elise Cougill |
100% |
234.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Scout Newman |
100% |
12.8 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
4.6 |
7.1 |
10.0 |
9.4 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
6.5 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Lucy Tolliver |
100% |
27.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| MacKenzie Steele |
100% |
32.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Hannah Oppy |
100% |
36.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Williams |
100% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Savannah Dyer |
100% |
54.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elise Cougill |
100% |
75.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Scout Newman |
2.2 |
0.1 |
46.2 |
23.7 |
13.4 |
11.5 |
4.5 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucy Tolliver |
5.9 |
|
0.9 |
6.4 |
10.3 |
13.3 |
21.1 |
26.5 |
14.1 |
5.6 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| MacKenzie Steele |
7.2 |
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
4.0 |
7.5 |
11.0 |
19.7 |
30.2 |
16.2 |
6.7 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hannah Oppy |
8.4 |
|
|
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
4.2 |
9.7 |
19.6 |
35.5 |
16.6 |
8.0 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Williams |
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
12.7 |
18.7 |
23.4 |
17.5 |
12.5 |
6.0 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
| Savannah Dyer |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
9.1 |
15.9 |
17.1 |
15.1 |
11.3 |
8.5 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
| Elise Cougill |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
9.2 |
6.5 |
7.8 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
|
