Carmel
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #6
Brownsburg Regional Rank #2
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 4.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 50.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 96.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational
Date 8/13 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 192 538 200 161 216 248 174
Team Adjusted Rating 192 200 161 177 182 174
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational
40  Annabel Pollert 9 19:07 19:27 18:53 18:55 19:11
62  Larkin Taylor 9 19:23 19:38 19:18 19:09 19:12
69  Olivia Mundt 11 19:28 19:18 19:18 19:02 19:30 20:08
79  Emersyn Weaver 12 19:33 19:40 19:26 19:30 19:24 19:22
88  Audrey Ricketts 12 19:41 19:32 19:40 19:36 19:53 19:22
94  Charlotte Konow 11 19:44 19:38 19:35 19:41 19:36 19:39
146  Katy Dascoli 11 20:03 20:19 19:59 19:54 19:36 20:11
177  Nola Elling 11 20:14 20:07 20:34 19:51 19:57 20:39
184  Ella Gaddis 11 20:16 19:59 20:06 20:20 20:11 20:29
215  Cara Naas 12 20:26 20:21 20:39 20:28 20:10 20:14
225  Kara Wenzler 12 20:28 19:41 20:30 20:31 20:42
306  Annabelle Inman 9 20:51 20:57 20:19 21:06 20:32 20:54
326  Andrea Bendaly 11 20:55 21:19 20:34 20:32 21:08
385  Maija Gilhooly 9 21:08 22:02 20:43 21:08 20:45
414  Caroline Schmidt 10 21:12 21:22 21:15 21:55 20:52 20:36 21:08
435  Arden Finley 10 21:16 21:13 20:41 21:14 20:19 21:44 22:09 21:16
442  Madeline Weisner 12 21:17 21:09 21:02 21:25 21:02 20:57 21:57 21:23
495  Brianna Roper 11 21:26 21:37 20:49 21:23 21:50 20:52 21:40 21:28
512  Lilliana Cate 10 21:31 21:52 21:35 21:21 22:28 20:34 20:23 21:36
518  Maddie Cox 10 21:31 21:32 21:00 21:30 21:16 21:48 21:10 21:42
531  Hanna Schaller 9 21:34 21:24 21:16 22:39 21:08 22:51 21:38
597  Emma Meisner 9 21:45 23:14 21:44 21:48 21:23 21:48 21:44
599  Veronica Strzynski 11 21:45 20:51 22:47 21:52 21:27 21:42 21:41 21:34
614  Malia Larger 9 21:47 21:57 22:46 21:42 21:21 21:49 21:14
706  Elena Harrie 12 22:00 22:08 21:48 21:44 21:42 22:04 22:02 22:03
720  Emma Kistler 10 22:02 21:57 21:15 22:38 22:02
779  Liesel Schmidt 12 22:11 21:59 22:47 21:51 22:03
1,155  Kate Naas 11 23:02 22:53 23:24 22:48 22:58
1,169  Sam Feys 9 23:04 22:12 22:51 22:50 23:10 23:35 23:09
1,208  Regan Murphy 10 23:10 23:39 22:16 26:02 23:25 22:55 23:02
1,213  Vera Griffin 9 23:12 22:33 23:29 22:52 22:32 23:32 23:27
1,227  Lexi Marsella 10 23:14 23:12 22:56 23:09 23:09
1,238  Ashlyn Neuhoff 10 23:16 22:49 22:58 23:55
1,250  Ivy Zhen 11 23:17 23:00 23:19 23:10
1,251  Madelyn Putman 11 23:17 22:36 23:31 23:06 23:16 22:36 24:09
1,276  Ella Ondrejko 11 23:21 22:44 22:28 23:05 24:19 24:19
1,296  Melinda Yong 12 23:24 23:00 23:32 23:18 23:10 23:17 23:22
1,318  Audrey Nace 11 23:26 22:46 23:23 23:30 23:28 22:58 23:24 23:29
1,331  Emma Warner 9 23:27 22:40 23:19 23:50 23:28
Ella Cantafio 10 23:30 24:39 23:07 23:25 23:09
Camrin Petro 10 23:33 23:10 23:14 23:34 22:56 23:52 24:08
Gia Ferrettie 9 23:45 23:24 23:42 24:12 23:17
Mia Watson 23:48 23:48 23:47 24:20 23:20 23:16
Raegan Herbert 10 23:52 23:47 23:43
Eva Marsden 10 23:55 22:43 23:26 23:37 23:58 24:10 24:50
Keeley Rohrer 11 24:12 22:57 23:48 23:47 24:38 24:14 24:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 5.6 209 4.9 7.3 11.1 12.2 15.3 14.7 11.7 8.7 6.7 3.8 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.5 79 57.0 38.9 3.8 0.4
Sectionals 100% 1.4 38 61.5 34.7 3.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.7 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 62.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 99.8%
Olivia Mundt 100% 69.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.8%
Emersyn Weaver 100% 79.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.7%
Audrey Ricketts 100% 92.3 0.1 96.6%
Charlotte Konow 100% 97.7 94.6%
Katy Dascoli 100% 142.5 61.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 9.2 0.7 1.7 4.5 6.4 10.4 13.1 11.5 10.4 11.2 7.8 5.4 4.1 3.8 2.2 2.2 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.3 2.6 3.9 6.4 7.0 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 7.6 5.8 6.0 5.5 3.4 3.0 3.1 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.6 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 15.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.7 5.3 7.4 5.9 6.4 8.0 7.0 7.1 7.2 5.6 5.2 4.8 3.4 2.8 3.2 2.6 2.1 100.0%
Emersyn Weaver 100% 17.8 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.5 3.7 4.7 6.5 7.2 5.6 6.5 5.8 5.4 6.2 6.0 5.7 4.2 3.8 4.1 3.3 100.0%
Audrey Ricketts 100% 21.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.8 2.2 2.9 3.2 2.8 5.3 5.7 6.4 6.5 5.5 5.5 5.7 4.6 5.5 4.5 100.0%
Charlotte Konow 100% 22.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.7 3.3 3.8 4.9 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.6 4.9 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 3.8 5.1 9.1 45.3 19.6 8.3 5.1 3.2 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Larkin Taylor 5.8 0.9 2.0 9.8 22.7 18.5 13.5 10.8 7.1 5.1 3.1 2.8 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2
Olivia Mundt 6.7 0.2 0.9 6.6 13.5 18.4 15.7 11.2 7.1 7.7 5.2 4.2 3.6 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.2
Emersyn Weaver 8.2 0.2 2.3 6.1 11.5 14.0 13.7 12.7 9.0 7.7 5.7 5.2 4.1 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
Audrey Ricketts 10.1 0.1 0.5 2.3 5.5 7.3 11.0 11.0 11.3 9.7 9.2 6.9 6.7 5.5 3.9 3.2 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1
Charlotte Konow 10.9 0.2 1.5 3.2 6.0 9.0 10.6 11.0 10.1 10.1 8.3 7.4 4.7 5.5 4.6 3.8 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1
Katy Dascoli 17.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.1 4.2 5.4 7.4 8.6 7.4 8.3 8.7 10.3 10.8 9.5 7.5 4.7 1.4 0.1