Carmel
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #8
Brownsburg Regional Rank #2
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 7.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 51.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Nike XC Town Twilight HSE/Noblesville JV Invite North Central (Indpls) Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 8/13 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/4 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 196 584 234 188 243 279 196 184 744 312 199 204
Team Adjusted Rating 196 199 155 179 182 163 184 196 227 199 204
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Nike XC Town Twilight HSE/Noblesville JV Invite North Central (Indpls) Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
24  Sadie Foley 10 18:50 18:49 19:19 19:23 18:44 18:42
55  Annabel Pollert 9 19:24 19:38 19:02 19:03 19:18 19:18 19:45 19:26
74  Larkin Taylor 9 19:35 19:49 19:27 19:18 19:19 19:27 19:58 19:34 19:37
84  Audrey Ricketts 12 19:39 19:32 19:50 19:45 20:02 19:29 19:35 19:28 19:34
100  Emersyn Weaver 12 19:44 19:40 19:37 19:39 19:32 19:30 19:40 19:50 20:04
108  Olivia Mundt 11 19:48 19:18 19:28 19:10 19:39 20:16 19:35 20:16
128  Cara Naas 12 19:57 20:21 20:49 20:37 20:20 20:21 20:21 19:46
140  Charlotte Konow 11 20:00 19:38 19:46 19:51 19:45 19:46 19:50 19:54 20:22 20:30
170  Katy Dascoli 11 20:11 20:19 20:10 20:04 19:45 20:19 20:03 20:27
197  Nola Elling 11 20:21 20:07 20:46 20:00 20:05 20:46 19:23 20:43
221  Ella Gaddis 11 20:29 19:59 20:17 20:30 20:20 20:36 20:31
281  Kara Wenzler 12 20:45 19:41 20:42 20:40 20:51 20:45 20:46
329  Annabelle Inman 9 20:56 21:09 20:29 21:15 20:42 21:04 20:47
368  Maija Gilhooly 9 21:02 22:15 20:53 21:18 20:55 20:55
383  Andrea Bendaly 11 21:08 21:19 20:46 20:42 21:18 21:30
441  Maddie Cox 10 21:25 21:32 21:10 21:42 21:26 21:58 21:20 21:53 20:56 21:14
455  Lilliana Cate 10 21:26 21:52 21:45 21:33 22:39 20:43 20:33 21:47 21:29
495  Madeline Weisner 12 21:33 21:09 21:11 21:37 21:12 21:06 22:08 21:34 21:40 21:31
497  Brianna Roper 11 21:33 21:37 20:58 21:35 22:00 21:01 21:50 21:38 21:18 21:38
502  Caroline Schmidt 10 21:33 21:32 21:27 22:05 21:01 20:46 21:18 21:59 22:06
537  Arden Finley 10 21:39 21:13 20:50 21:25 20:29 21:53 22:20 21:27 22:19
608  Malia Larger 9 21:47 22:06 22:59 21:52 21:30 22:00 21:24 21:22 21:51
663  Veronica Strzynski 11 21:58 20:51 22:57 22:04 21:37 21:51 21:51 21:45 21:50 22:16
687  Emma Meisner 9 22:01 23:24 21:56 21:58 21:33 21:59 21:54 22:10 22:18
724  Hanna Schaller 9 22:03 21:34 21:28 22:50 21:17 23:02 21:48 22:48 21:57
792  Elena Harrie 12 22:12 22:08 21:58 21:56 21:52 22:14 22:12 22:14 22:21 22:22
878  Liesel Schmidt 12 22:27 22:11 22:58 22:00 22:14 22:33 22:42
962  Emma Kistler 10 22:40 21:57 21:24 22:51 22:13 22:50 22:59
1,079  Kate Naas 11 22:54 22:53 23:37 22:59 23:09 22:32 22:27
1,195  Regan Murphy 10 23:12 23:39 22:26 26:15 23:35 23:07 23:14
1,217  Sam Feys 9 23:14 22:22 23:04 23:01 23:20 23:47 23:20 23:06 24:49
1,278  Lexi Marsella 10 23:23 23:22 23:09 23:19 23:20 23:30
Madelyn Putman 11 23:31 22:36 23:42 23:20 23:28 22:47 24:21 23:43 23:16
Melinda Yong 12 23:33 23:00 23:43 23:29 23:20 23:28 23:33 24:52 23:02
Ella Cantafio 10 23:34 24:50 23:21 23:36 23:20
Audrey Nace 11 23:35 22:46 23:33 23:43 23:40 23:08 23:36 23:41 23:04 23:56
Ella Ondrejko 11 23:37 22:44 22:38 23:19 24:31 24:31 23:14 23:28
Mia Watson 9 23:41 23:59 24:01 24:32 23:32 23:28 23:32 23:20
Vera Griffin 9 23:42 22:44 23:43 23:03 22:42 23:44 23:39 24:29 24:33
Ivy Zhen 11 23:43 23:10 23:30 23:20 25:41 24:47
Ashlyn Neuhoff 10 23:44 22:49 23:08 24:06
Gia Ferrettie 9 23:45 23:35 23:56 24:24 23:28 23:32
Camrin Petro 10 23:45 23:21 23:28 23:46 23:06 24:04 24:19
Raegan Herbert 10 23:51 24:00 23:55 23:37
Emma Warner 9 23:53 22:51 23:33 24:02 23:40 25:40 25:01
Misha Desai 9 23:58 24:28 24:21 24:45 23:51 24:10 23:27 23:21
Eva Marsden 10 24:14 22:43 23:37 23:50 24:09 24:22 25:02 24:03 24:12
Keeley Rohrer 11 24:23 22:57 23:59 24:01 24:50 24:26 24:37 24:19 24:08
Emma Imler 11 24:31 24:05 25:20 25:33 24:51 24:12 23:31




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 5.4 193 7.8 10.8 9.8 10.6 12.8 13.2 12.7 11.6 6.0 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.6 81 44.9 49.4 5.2 0.5 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.6 41 44.6 50.7 4.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 23.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.4 4.4 3.9 3.9 4.4 3.7 4.1 3.4 3.5 3.8 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 59.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 99.2%
Larkin Taylor 100% 77.9 0.2 97.1%
Audrey Ricketts 100% 86.1 0.1 94.9%
Emersyn Weaver 100% 96.7 0.1 90.7%
Cara Naas 100% 123.9 70.6%
Charlotte Konow 100% 131.5 62.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 5.5 0.1 3.5 9.7 13.6 16.2 15.6 15.5 12.5 6.4 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 12.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 4.3 7.8 10.2 11.3 9.1 8.0 7.4 6.2 4.1 4.9 4.3 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.1 1.2 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 17.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.0 2.9 4.1 4.9 6.3 5.6 6.3 5.6 6.8 6.2 5.3 5.1 5.8 4.4 3.5 3.4 3.3 2.7 100.0%
Audrey Ricketts 100% 19.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.7 3.6 4.6 4.7 6.0 5.2 5.7 6.1 5.7 4.6 5.3 4.1 3.8 3.6 4.9 100.0%
Emersyn Weaver 100% 22.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.1 3.5 3.7 4.9 4.0 6.4 5.1 4.2 4.7 4.1 3.6 100.0%
Cara Naas 100% 29.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.9 1.6 3.7 2.7 3.6 4.0 100.0%
Charlotte Konow 100% 31.7 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 2.6 0.2 37.2 21.4 28.9 9.1 2.9 0.3 0.3
Annabel Pollert 6.3 2.7 4.3 15.9 21.1 18.6 13.1 9.2 6.0 3.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1
Larkin Taylor 8.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 3.9 8.5 11.8 16.2 13.5 13.0 9.6 7.8 5.2 4.5 2.0 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.2
Audrey Ricketts 9.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.9 5.3 8.1 12.3 14.6 12.1 11.6 10.4 7.3 5.8 4.1 2.3 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1
Emersyn Weaver 11.1 0.2 0.5 2.6 4.8 7.3 9.4 11.5 13.3 10.5 10.4 8.6 8.2 5.1 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Cara Naas 14.4 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.8 3.7 7.0 8.1 10.2 11.2 12.1 11.4 9.8 8.3 5.2 3.7 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
Charlotte Konow 15.4 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.7 4.4 6.4 8.4 8.9 12.3 12.5 13.2 10.0 8.1 3.8 3.3 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2