Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #8
New Haven Regional Rank #3
West Noble Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 1.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 25.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 85.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic
Date 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 208 189 166 562 234 570 205
Team Adjusted Rating 189 166 208 234 208 205
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic
38  Taylor Hansen 12 19:04 18:51 18:41 19:34 19:22
48  Haile Schiffeneder 11 19:16 19:17 19:19 18:55 19:10 19:23
56  Hadley Snell 12 19:20 19:30 19:11 19:00 19:36 19:12
101  Brylee Crass 9 19:47 19:41 19:34 19:58 19:43
163  Megan Lanning 10 20:09 19:35 20:02 20:13 20:09 20:11
170  Emre Lieland 20:12 20:07 20:30 19:59 19:54
239  Maura Sloffer 12 20:32 20:28 20:42 20:25 20:05 20:33
363  Stella Kruse 10 21:03 20:29 20:56 21:40 21:07 20:52 20:53
378  Claire Lane 9 21:07 21:17 20:55 21:11 20:44 21:08
434  Natalie Blume 10 21:16 21:56 21:43 21:18 20:57 20:53 20:53
448  Audrey Fraser 9 21:18 21:37 20:48 21:24 21:00 21:23
716  Mavee Clark 10 22:01 22:53 22:03 21:48 21:17
789  Kate Allen 10 22:13 22:42 21:56 22:12 22:13 22:01 21:58
1,002  Lauren Johnson 9 22:41 22:53 22:14 22:16 23:14
1,025  Marybeth Hall 12 22:45 20:11 23:09 22:48
1,140  Elena Barb 10 23:00 22:47 22:57 22:40 22:53 23:41
1,166  Bella Slone 10 23:03 22:41 23:52 23:06 22:36 22:55
1,257  Reagan Ganshorn 9 23:18 27:34 24:53 22:32 22:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 7.5 245 1.0 2.5 4.3 8.2 9.4 12.2 14.0 14.5 11.0 8.8 6.2 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.8 92 3.1 14.4 81.4 1.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 99.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 100% 40.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.2 1.5 2.2 1.7 100.0%
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 54.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 99.7%
Hadley Snell 100% 58.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.3 99.5%
Brylee Crass 100% 106.6 78.9%
Megan Lanning 100% 150.7 28.8%
Emre Lieland 100% 156.7 23.1%
Maura Sloffer 100% 189.2 2.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 100% 10.0 0.2 0.5 4.8 9.0 10.9 13.1 11.4 10.1 8.2 7.8 5.9 4.8 3.8 2.6 2.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.2 100.0%
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 13.7 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.2 5.4 6.3 7.6 9.1 9.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 5.5 4.5 4.1 4.1 3.0 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.5 100.0%
Hadley Snell 100% 14.7 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.8 5.3 7.7 7.7 7.9 7.8 7.0 8.0 6.0 6.0 5.4 4.2 4.3 2.8 2.5 1.8 1.3 100.0%
Brylee Crass 100% 26.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.7 2.1 3.9 3.9 4.6 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.2 100.0%
Megan Lanning 100% 38.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.4 100.0%
Emre Lieland 100% 39.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Maura Sloffer 100% 49.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 1.8 26.0 30.1 24.2 13.1 5.9 0.8
Haile Schiffeneder 3.2 6.7 14.7 23.8 25.9 23.5 4.9 0.6 0.1
Hadley Snell 3.6 3.6 11.1 19.7 27.7 29.1 7.8 1.1
Brylee Crass 5.9 0.1 0.3 2.2 8.1 41.9 32.1 9.6 3.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Megan Lanning 8.3 0.1 2.7 14.0 24.7 25.5 13.1 9.2 4.8 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emre Lieland 8.7 0.1 2.0 9.4 21.6 22.8 17.4 10.8 7.4 4.3 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Maura Sloffer 12.3 0.2 2.2 5.1 11.7 12.7 14.3 13.7 11.8 9.5 6.3 5.4 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2