Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #1
New Haven Regional Rank #1
Woodlan Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 38.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 94.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 127 129 120 91 959 109 134
Team Adjusted Rating 129 120 91 127 109 134
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational
Mallory Weller 10 18:11 19:00 18:19 18:05 18:04 17:54 18:21
Lexi Panning 12 18:12 18:35 18:17 18:03 18:07 18:06 18:26
31  Sidney Scheumann 12 18:56 19:05 18:51 18:45 18:47 19:25
84  Hannah Clark 10 19:35 20:05 19:29 19:30 19:28 19:28 19:26
93  Lilly Schlicker 10 19:44 20:02 19:41 19:48 19:08 19:38 19:33
302  Ellie Walters 11 20:49 20:16 20:35 21:20 20:51
395  Maddie Gentz 9 21:10 20:52 23:17 22:19 20:45
616  Sierra Luttik 11 21:48 23:02 21:37 21:43 21:44 21:32 21:39 21:45
641  Joelle Borchelt 10 21:51 23:22 21:24 21:51 21:39 21:50 21:49
947  Cocoa Milleman 9 22:35 22:29 22:13 22:51
1,027  Ali Risley 11 22:45 22:34 22:49 22:42
1,088  Anna Clem 10 22:53 23:01 22:37 23:11 22:27 23:04 22:27
Emily Clark 12 23:40 22:31 23:30 23:28 23:44 24:10
Naomi Hendrickson 9 23:50 23:33 23:41 23:25 24:30 23:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 2.4 144 38.2 24.1 15.3 10.9 6.5 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.3
Regionals 100% 1.4 57 60.4 34.7 4.9
Sectionals 100% 1.4 31 58.7 41.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 100% 9.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.7 7.0 11.4 13.4 14.0 10.5 8.5 7.1 6.0 4.8 2.8 2.9 1.9 1.8 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Lexi Panning 100% 9.4 0.2 0.7 2.8 5.6 9.8 13.0 13.0 11.7 9.5 7.5 6.1 4.9 3.6 2.9 2.1 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Sidney Scheumann 100% 32.9 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.7 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.2 100.0%
Hannah Clark 100% 84.1 0.1 0.1 94.4%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 96.2 86.5%
Ellie Walters 100% 206.6 0.2%
Maddie Gentz 100% 223.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 100% 3.9 0.1 0.5 11.8 41.5 36.6 8.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Lexi Panning 100% 4.0 0.5 11.8 37.3 40.0 9.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sidney Scheumann 100% 8.7 0.2 7.4 17.0 16.8 12.8 11.6 7.8 6.4 5.1 4.0 3.3 2.1 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Hannah Clark 100% 20.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.7 3.9 3.5 5.1 4.7 5.8 5.7 6.7 7.0 6.3 5.9 4.5 4.8 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 24.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.0 2.0 2.6 3.7 4.0 4.5 4.7 5.4 6.1 5.7 5.8 5.4 100.0%
Ellie Walters 100% 58.3 100.0%
Maddie Gentz 100% 73.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 2.0 0.2 50.5 49.0 0.3
Lexi Panning 2.0 0.4 49.0 50.3 0.4 0.1
Sidney Scheumann 3.8 0.2 60.4 18.0 11.0 5.2 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
Hannah Clark 9.5 0.2 4.1 6.1 9.9 11.8 12.1 13.2 12.2 12.3 8.4 6.3 3.0 0.6 0.2
Lilly Schlicker 10.9 0.1 1.9 2.7 5.1 6.8 8.7 12.0 13.8 12.1 13.2 11.6 9.4 2.3 0.7
Ellie Walters 19.1 0.2 0.4 2.9 7.6 15.0 22.7 17.1 13.1 8.2 6.4 3.6 2.2
Maddie Gentz 22.8 0.3 1.4 5.0 9.2 11.8 12.7 12.6 15.0 14.0